Posted on 07/09/2009 8:42:45 AM PDT by Rufus2007
There could be a potential tax break the no one in the news has really picked up on with this ailing economy a big drop in the price of oil. Although the media hype price increases, oil prices are dropping and could be heading toward lows not seen since 1999.
Philip Verleger, a business professor at the University of Calgary and visiting fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics told CNBCs July 8 The Kudlow Report how the cost of oil might drop. Verleger explained why the current price of oil at $60 a barrel, off its $72 highs, is still way too expensive for the market and why it could come tumbling down to $20.
...more (w/video)...
(Excerpt) Read more at businessandmedia.org ...
ML/NJ
I doubt that crude will fall much below $40 a barrel, ever. But demand is so far down that it might see some kind of trade-mania intraday crater near $20 if the trading range declines to a low enough level.
OPEC Has Already Turned to the Euro...The source for the euro exchange rate is the Federal Reserve, and I have calculated the euro's average exchange rate to the dollar for each year based on daily data.
GoldMoney Alert
February 18, 2004
US Imports of Crude oil
|
|||||
(1)
|
(2)
|
(3)
|
(4)
|
(5)
|
(6)
|
Year
|
Quantity (thousands of barrels)
|
Value (thousands of US dollars)
|
Unit price (US dollars)
|
Average daily US$ per € exchange rate
|
Unit price (euros)
|
2001 |
3,471,066
|
74,292,894
|
21.40
|
0.8952
|
23.91
|
2002
|
3,418,021
|
77,283,329
|
22.61
|
0.9454
|
23.92
|
2003
|
3,673,596
|
99,094,675
|
26.97
|
1.1321
|
23.82
|
We can see from column (4) in the above table that in 2001, each barrel of imported crude oil cost $21.40 on average for that year. But by 2003 the average price of a barrel of crude oil had risen 26.0% to $26.97 per barrel. However, the important point is shown in column (6). Note that the price of crude oil in terms of euros is essentially unchanged throughout this 3-year period.
As the dollar has fallen, the dollar price of crude oil has risen. But the euro price of crude oil remains essentially unchanged throughout this 3-year period. It does not seem logical that this result is pure coincidence. It is more likely the result of purposeful design, namely, that OPEC is mindful of the dollar's decline and increases the dollar price of its crude oil by an amount that offsets the loss in purchasing power OPEC's members would otherwise incur. In short, OPEC is protecting its purchasing power as the dollar declines.
Where we live they’re dropping like a rock.
certainly not dropping here in Arizona.
Gonna make it really hard to sell the Green Roller Skates that Gobermint Motors are going to be forced to produce....
I think it’s around 2.19 here.
Here in south central Texas prices are down 17 cents per gallon in the last 2 weeks.
The only way oil drops to that price is if the economy tanks. Big time.
I won't go into details about the rest of the fantasy.
Saying 91% have jobs is like saying only 91% pay their mortages and 9% default every year.
Its catastrophic.
John
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