Posted on 07/08/2009 9:19:37 PM PDT by Plutarch
It used to be easy to predict who the next Republican presidential nominee would be. It was decided by primogeniture: The next oldest guy in line got to be the king.
It’s not so easy looking to 2012, with former Vice President Dick Cheney out of the running and a woman, soon-to-be former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, in.
And I do believe she’s in — damaged in her chances, maybe, but fully intending to make a run and very popular with the shrinking hard core of the GOP.
In the Democratic Party, primogeniture sometimes applies, as with Adlai Stevenson in 1956 and incumbent or former Vice Presidents Hubert Humphrey in 1968, Walter Mondale in 1984 and Al Gore in 2000.
But, just as often, a candidate will come from relative, or not-so-relative, obscurity and seize the nomination, such as John F. Kennedy in 1960, George McGovern in 1972, Jimmy Carter in 1976, Michael Dukakis in 1988, Bill Clinton in 1992 and Barack Obama in 2008.
In the Republican Party, however, there’s a rigid history of “follow the leader.”...
____________________________________________
Does she have a chance to get nominated? You betcha. She’s attractive, charismatic, ambitious, tough to the point of ruthlessness and smart, if still woefully ignorant.
Before she announced her resignation, she was tied in a CNN poll with 2008 candidates Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee and a Pew poll showed that she had an 85 percent approval rating among conservatives and white evangelicals, to 52 percent for Romney.
My bet is that primogeniture still works — sort of — and that Palin, Romney or Huckabee, familiar faces, will outrun national newcomers like Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty and Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels...
[...exerpt]
(Excerpt) Read more at rollcall.com ...
“Palin ... tough to the point of ruthlessness and smart, if still woefully ignorant.”
Bite me Mort. You are an idiot. Go back to your Beltway cocktail party.
They love their DC cocktail parties.
in reading the amendment re: term limits i am not getting anything that says dick cheney could not be veep again. am i reading this right or am i just (in a sinus med haze) missing something?
Sarah will make these libs fly over the cuckoos nest, and to pacify them, Nurse Ratchet will lobotimize them.
“with the shrinking hard core of the GOP.”????
Mort must have had a few too many...polls say conservative are 40% and increasing. Try the increasing number of conservatives.
Mort was all a-twitter because he had gotten to do the first interview.
He calmed down a bit when one of us told him he had a huge bugger hanging from his nose, though.
I'm sorry--I just had to "share" this story, and giggle a bit as I was typing---LOL!
I agree, but it feels as though they are starting to consider the possibility of a 2012 Palin run. I suspect that as she begins to work in the lower 48, and her presence start being truly felt, many of these conservative commentators will want to ‘jump on the bandwagon’, more or less. This will start by them giving ‘advice’.
Mort is a moron. He speaks about all Zero’s talent and qualifications at the end of the article, but belittles Sarah’s far superior experience throughout. BO couldn’t organize a two car parade without his teleprompter and handlers. That is why all his town hall meetings and press conferences are staged events with softball questions, often planted.
Webschooner: “Bite me Mort. You are an idiot. Go back to your Beltway cocktail party.”
On the other hand A more sophisticated and urbane FReeper, SJB
says: “Bite me Mort. You are an idiot. Go back to your Beltway cocktail party.”
Back in Dec 08, Mort and Fred Barnes talked those crazy conservatives dragging the GOP down.
Mort and Fred said conservatives were crazy for:
Opposing Guest Worker Programs
Opposing Auto Bailouts
Opposing Financial Service Bailouts
If polls suggest 40% of conservatives are for her, that's not a high number.
Right now, the media seems fixated on the higher number of independents who are against her.
Still could become???????
Also pro amnesty for illegals.
Winning ticket for 2012: Palin / Cheney (Liz,that is)
My theory is that she will start a new party and become the presidential nominee. Maybe it will be called the TEA Party. If Mitt Romney is not the GOP nominee, I will head for Sarah’s party.
I’m no longer a Republican. I will join again when and if they earn it.
Is this Sarah’s first fan inside the beltway?
Ain’t going to happen, and if it did, which it won’t, it would fail.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.