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Well, Stivers is a good man, and I admire him for stepping up to the plate, but it has to be rated a long shot at this point for two reasons. First, political rematches seldom live up to their hype. A close contest the first time around often morphs into a no contest the next time. Kiljoy is ultra-liberal but will have the power of incumbency and will work hard to paint herself as a moderate.

Second, and perhaps most important, this district is trending leftward. The demographics have shifted an awful lot. There is conservative strength in the rural areas of the district but that alone isn't going to win it. There just aren't enough votes in the rural areas to offset the huge 'Rat advantage in Columbus and, increasingly, the suburbs. I'd swear there were more "Arlington for Obama" signs the last time around than there were dandelions in my lawn this Spring (which was a lot).