>> How many vulnerable R’s are running in ‘10? <<
None; they are all retiring. There’s five open seats.
>> I’m not following your math, but it’s late. 51 in the Senate is a majority. 60, that the D’s just achieved, is needed to avoid cloture <<
That’s because I didn’t show any of my math. The GOP needs to pick up 11 seats; they have 40. They also have to defend 16 seats.
The 16 they have to defend are in states where they have the best shot of doing so.
They need 11 for a majority in the Senate. I can state right now that they’re not gonna get it. But they’re gonna get enough so that the 2 RINOS (Snowe and Collins) cannot do damage.
The House and Governorships is where the bacon is gonna be made. I’ll give an example: Oregon’s unemployment rate is approaching 13%. The Dems have had the governor’s seat for the past 25 years, and the state house has been a supermajority in both houses for this session, with a Senate supermajority since I believe 2004. The Dems have taxed their way into a hole.
It’s just a matter of the OR GOP getting their butt in order and actually full-on supporting a conservative for the nominee instead of the RINO idiots like Kevin Mannix and Ron Saxton (the previous two nominees).