The 16 they have to defend are in states where they have the best shot of doing so.
They need 11 for a majority in the Senate. I can state right now that they’re not gonna get it. But they’re gonna get enough so that the 2 RINOS (Snowe and Collins) cannot do damage.
The House and Governorships is where the bacon is gonna be made. I’ll give an example: Oregon’s unemployment rate is approaching 13%. The Dems have had the governor’s seat for the past 25 years, and the state house has been a supermajority in both houses for this session, with a Senate supermajority since I believe 2004. The Dems have taxed their way into a hole.
It’s just a matter of the OR GOP getting their butt in order and actually full-on supporting a conservative for the nominee instead of the RINO idiots like Kevin Mannix and Ron Saxton (the previous two nominees).
Oregon’s a funny state - although liberal, Republicans can and do win the state from time to time, usually after Democrats have pissed them off enough.