Posted on 06/15/2009 9:19:17 AM PDT by rabscuttle385
The conference on the future of U.S. politics, convened at the American Enterprise Institute on Friday, has come and gone, leaving in its wake more bad news for the Republican Party.
I know. You're asking: "So what else is new?" The GOP has been taking a beating in the public opinion polls of late. What makes this particular set of portends scary for Republicans is that the conferees were not studying mere polling snapshots. They were dealing with demography—long-term trends regarding various voting groups identified by age, race and geographic location. And in politics, demography is destiny.
I'm going to highlight some of the findings as the week progresses. I'll begin today with race.
Here's the bottom line: As the white vote continues to shrink in America, the Democrats are doing a much better job attracting voters of African, Latino and Asian ancestry. Especially in key Electoral College states.
(Excerpt) Read more at usnews.com ...
It’s disgusts me to see how much EVERY administration has failed us over this issue. However, this will NOT be the Bush/McCain legacy.
We serve no good purpose in joining with the dems in bashing Bush/Cheney for anything. It just hurts us and helps them.
“Texas as a dem state is a long way away, unless unabridged amnesty is granted.”
One way to avoid that AND have strong border security is to re-cast the issue as not only pertaining to illegals, but drug cartel members and terrorists. Those GOPers campaigning in largely Hispanic areas need to air those concerns and get them thinking away from the idea that “Republicans are racist because they want to close the border.” It’s time to shift the argument to one of a more urgent matter of national security. The Hispanics have to be reminded their home countries south of the border are rife with narco-terror, and we are doing all we can to keep it beyond our borders.
Texas legislature ping!
Outside of Austin and parts of Dallas, Texas is a very conservative state.
The Tex Mex crowd is not the same as the La Raza crowd of California.
This is from an escapee from the NY hell.
By 2020 Texas will be a toss-up state in presidential elections and then become a solid Blue State.
Trust Me, Texas is going to HELL in a handbasket. I live in Corpus Christi and NO ONE speaks English here! You would NOT believe it! It is like this in HOUSTON, Dallas, San Antonio, El Paso, this article is correct.
Be careful with statistics, especially when non-practicing and practicing Catholics are lumped together in the same group. Generally, practicing Catholics are conservative-leaning. Non-practicing Catholics are decidedly liberal.
You be careful ignoring facts.
In 2004 Protestant Hispanics were 32% of the Hispanic vote and they went for Bush at 56%, Catholic Hispanics were 55% of the Hispanic vote and gave Bush 33% of their vote.
In 2008 the percentages for Obama was 52% Protestant Hispanics and 79% Catholic Hispanics.
Yes, and it's moving El Norte at an alarming rate. When Obama wins illegals their "citizenship" and hands out the "free" taxpayer funded breadbaskets, Texas will be bluer than Kaleefornia.
“Texas falling to the Rats = Bush/McCain legacy”
I truly think that the one to blame for Texas being idealogically more liberal is Lyndon Baines Johnson.
He served up a whopper of a liberal agenda while POTUS, and Texas is still reeling from its effect over 40 years later, including even the consideration of liberal scum as elected officials in this state.
What about your source? The Almanac of America Politics 2006 shows people of Hispanic Origin” at 13.7%. I mean come on, this is San Diego. Right next to the Southern Border. There’s no way in hell, even intellectually, that Hispanics would only number 2%.
My source is an old interview with Duncan Hunter in the Presidential Election. That is reflected here.
http://race42008.com/duncan-hunter/
I would still like to see the source for those numbers, doesn’t the info at your link seem a little odd to you, he supposedly gets 70% of the democrat vote and wins by 65%?
“In his district, he consistently gets over 60% of the Hispanic vote and nearly 70% of the Democrat vote. Hunter became chairman of the House Armed Services Committee in 2003. In 2006, Hunter did not face any opponent in the Republican primary. In the November general election, he defeated Navy veteran/minister John Rinaldi, a Democrat, and Michael Benoit, a Libertarian. Hunter was re-elected with 65% of the vote, a 33-point margin over Rinaldi.”
Here is my source for 32% of Hispanic voters in 2004 being Protestant. “Religion appears to be linked to President Bush’s improved showing
among Hispanics in 2004 over 2000, when he took 34 percent of Latino
votes. Hispanic Protestants made up a larger share of the Latino vote last
year (32% in 2004 compared with 25% in 2000), and 56 percent of these
voters supported the president in 2004, compared with 44 percent in 2000.
The president’s share of the Hispanic Catholic vote remained essentially
unchanged between 2000 and 2004.”
http://pewhispanic.org/files/reports/48.pdf
Sorry I’ve been working and I mixed up your post with someone else’s, give me a minute and I will get back on track and give you a better answer.
You are right about district 52 being 13.7% Hispanic and I don’t even want to tell you how my 2% mistake came about, it is also my district.
I still would like to see a better source for the “consistent 60% Hispanic vote” though.
I live in Tx too. Still leans conservative although lots more illegals and influx of libs. Lack of GOP conservative message here and all of the USA can be disastrous. People will go conservative if there is a strong message and leadership. We have some of that in Tx but not enough.
The people of the USA are ripe for the picking but we need
GOP leaders who are strong leaders and teachers. As for the current GOP grade? B- in Tx and D- in USA overall.
Right now the immediate danger is John Sharp winning the KBH Senate seat in a special election early in 2010 and the Democrat takeover of the State House of Representatives in Nvember 2010. The GOP lead there is now 76-74. If TX does turn Democrat, GWB will have played a major role. By being so noncommital, he helped the Democrats. Dorothy Ann Willis Richards must be laughing in her grave.
No, haven’t you heard, kidd?. The Cubans in FL, especially the younger ones, are going Democrat for the “free programs” too.
Your B- is being too generous. Seriously, does any conservative in TX look to Perry, KBH, or Cornyn for real direction? All are noncommital types.
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