Up until now, I’ve been a complete scoffer regarding the feasibility of an effective new third party (and it WOULD be extremely difficult to pull off), but I;m beginningto entertainthe idea seriously. If the conservatives the the GOP, they’d get 15% of the vote, max. With only one Conservative Partyin 3-way races,a plurality could be possible. The RINO GOP would be made up of 5% left-leaning independents, 5% Cautious Democrats, and 5% RINOs. Most of these people vote Democrat in actual elections.
It would be 45 D, 30 R, and 20 C, best case scenario.