If Palin is the nominee in 2012, I belive she would win no more than six states, just like Goldwater. The people trust Obama and will for a long spell.
I don’t think Gov. Palin can win...I think too much damage was done among independents during the 2008 election. What you describe is pretty awful...six states? You really think so? I think the people trust Obama also (why) and do not trust the GOP...it is kind of like with FDR. He was elected four times even though while things improved, it was still not good times to say the least. We have to prove to people we can govern or we are in big trouble.