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2010 Senate Anaylysis, Part 1
The GOPNation.com ^ | April 23, 2009 | GOPNation.com

Posted on 04/23/2009 6:40:52 AM PDT by bmweezer

Next November, the GOP will try to recover from two consecutive round of losses in the U.S. Senate that saw their numbers go from a 55 seat-majority prior to 2006 to just a 41-seat minority after the 2008 elections. In 2010, the GOP will once again be defending more seats than the Democrats, 19 seats to 17. As of this writing, five GOP senators will be retiring versus just one for the Democrats. In tonight's first analysis, we will look at the following nine seats:

Alabama - Richard Shelby (R), incumbent

Shelby is seeking his 5th term in the U.S. Senate having won races in 1986, 1992, 1998 and 2004. For the first two, Alabama's senior Senator was a Democrat, becoming a member of the GOP caucus in 1994. Other than his first race against then-Sen. Jeremiah Denton (R), Shelby has been reelect to each of his terms with at least 60 percent of the vote. In 2010, Shelby looks like a winner. (GOP HOLD) Shelby for Senate

Alaska - Lisa Murkowski (R), incumbent

Now that Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (R) has decided against challenging Murkowski in a Republican primary, the GOPer first appointed (2002) and then elected (2004) a U.S. Senator should have no trouble winning a second full term next year. (GOP HOLD) Murkowski for U.S. Senate

Arizona - John McCain (R), incumbent

The 2008 GOP presidential nominee and four-term Senator has drawn a party challenge next year by Minutemen Civil Defense Corps. founder Chris Simcox, largely because of McCain's less-than-conservative views on U.S. immigration policies. While this will likely be McCain's race to lose, Simcox's entry could make this interesting nonetheless. (GOP HOLD) McCain for U.S. Senate / Simcox for U.S. Senate

Arkansas - Blanche Lincoln (D), incumbent

Re-elected in 1998 and again in 2004, Lincoln remains largely popular in Arkansas thanks to her slight right-of-center votes on key issues that are just enough to fight off possible GOP challengers. As of now, no GOPer has officially announced their candidacy. (DNC HOLD)

California - Barbara Boxer (D), incumbent

One of the U.S. Senate's most liberal members, Boxer hopes to be reelected to a fourth term next year from the Golden State, which has moved solidly to the Democratic party in general over the course of the past twenty years. As of now, the only GOP challenger seems to be Chuck DeVore, a term-limited Republican California Assemblymen. (DNC HOLD) DeVore for U.S. Senate

Colorado - Michael Bennet (D), incumbent

Only appointed Senator in early 2009, Bennet's overall opinion ratings aren't all that great which may draw him a Democratic challenger, let alone a GOP candidate in November 2010. (TOSSUP)

Connecticut - Christopher Dodd (D), incumbent

Even in an exceptional Democratic year, Dodd's fortunes for a sixth term would be unlikely at best, thanks to his ties to the tainted banking industry. Already, rumors are buzzing that Dodd will retire rather than risk losing an election and if he chooses to remain in the race, a Democratic challenger may be equally certain. On the GOP side, it looks like former GOP Rep. Rick Simmons will get his party's nomination and is already polling ahead of the challenger. (TOSSUP) Simmons for Senate. The GOPNation strongly advices that fellow GOPers give to the Simmons campaign, and often.

Delaware - Ted Kaufman (D), incumbent (not running for election)

Kaufman was appointed to replace Joe Biden in the Senate when Biden became the Vice President in January. Almost immediately, Kaufman announced that he would not run for election in 2010. While it is largely expected that Biden's son DE Attorney General Beau Biden will be running for his father's seat, his official intentions have not been made yet. On the GOP side, 2008 GOP candidate (versus Joe Biden) Christine O'Donnell has already announced her candidacy for this 2010 special election, although no "official" announcement has yet been made. (DNC HOLD)

Florida - Mel Martinez (R), incumbent (not running for re-election)

When Martinez announced his intent to retire his seat, the entire state of Florida looked to former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush as the likely GOP candidate, although Bush soon announced that he would not return to public office any time soon. Now, rumors are swirling that current GOP Gov. Charlie Crist will run for the seat and if he does, would be a very formable candidate. For now, while there a lot of names being mentioned on both sides of the aisle, it is still to soon to figure out who the two candidates will ultimately be. (GOP HOLD)

Our next Senate analysis will be released later this spring.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 04/23/2009 6:40:52 AM PDT by bmweezer
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To: bmweezer
Kelly Analysis: The Gelding Old Party is gonna have to get a testicle & spine implant before next year if they think they are gonna have ANY chance of regaining the Majority in the Senate in 2010, 2012 or ever.

Are you listening, Republicans? Hello?...is anybody home?

And "NO RINO's Need Apply"

2 posted on 04/23/2009 6:45:26 AM PDT by kellynla (Freedom of speech makes it easier to spot the idiots! Semper Fi!)
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To: calcowgirl; Ernest_at_the_Beach; NormsRevenge

DeVore?

Anybody know what the story is on this guy?


3 posted on 04/23/2009 6:52:21 AM PDT by kellynla (Freedom of speech makes it easier to spot the idiots! Semper Fi!)
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To: bmweezer

I guess I’m the only one who understands that most of these elections are already being fixed and stolen by the stimulus money directed to groups like ACORN. But hey, let’s put up a darn fine campaign anyway.


4 posted on 04/23/2009 7:01:01 AM PDT by raptor29
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To: bmweezer

Simmons and Crist are RINOs! No support for any RINOs, no matter who they are or where they are! All RINOs are seriously still creating way too much political damage upon the entire Republican Party, and this ongoing problem is seriously getting even worse everyday!


5 posted on 04/23/2009 7:18:42 AM PDT by johnthebaptistmoore (Conservatives obey the rules. Leftists cheat. Who probably has the political advantage?)
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To: johnthebaptistmoore

Get Pete Dupont in Delaware.


6 posted on 04/23/2009 7:19:49 AM PDT by scooby321
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To: bmweezer

Murkowski is also a RINO! No support for any RINOs anywhere in the U.S.!


7 posted on 04/23/2009 7:20:16 AM PDT by johnthebaptistmoore (Conservatives obey the rules. Leftists cheat. Who probably has the political advantage?)
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To: bmweezer
Rino Charlie Crist from flordia!! LOL!!! That is a democrat hold for sure!!
8 posted on 04/23/2009 7:22:56 AM PDT by org.whodat (Auto unions bad: Machinists union good=Hypocrisy)
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To: bmweezer

If they hurry, the senate pubbies of Bushwood Country Club can switch parties, retain their seats and at least be genuine in their liberalism instead of faking it.

9 posted on 04/23/2009 7:34:24 AM PDT by TADSLOS
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To: kellynla
DeVore? Anybody know what the story is on this guy?

Give him money, donate your time -- he's worth it!

Click on the pic:

Chuck Devore for United States Senate

10 posted on 04/23/2009 1:37:00 PM PDT by calcowgirl (RECALL Abel Maldonado! - NO on Props 1A 1B 1C 1D 1E 1F)
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To: calcowgirl

Okay, I’ll check it out.


11 posted on 04/23/2009 2:27:14 PM PDT by kellynla (Freedom of speech makes it easier to spot the idiots! Semper Fi!)
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