Posted on 04/14/2009 5:31:48 PM PDT by zaphod3000
When it comes to congressional races, California — despite its 53 seats — is typically one of the least competitive states in the nation. Next year, however, that may change.
The emerging consensus in both parties is that a highly gerrymandered state that rarely sees tightly contested House races is about to see a surge of them in 2010, largely because of erosion in the Republican base.
“There are a few [Republican incumbents] that are probably in danger,” said Dave Gilliard, a California-based GOP strategist. “A lot of these guys aren’t used to working the district, and they’re going to have to.”
Democrats say that after largely ignoring the state in recent years, they are taking a close look at eight Republican-held House districts Barack Obama won in November. . . . The heart of the problem is plummeting GOP voter registration. According to a new study of the state’s voting rolls, Republicans don’t have a majority of registered voters in a single congressional or legislative district. Democrats, by contrast, hold a voter registration majority in 20 of the state’s 53 congressional districts, according to the secretary of state’s March 20 voter report.
The state’s newest registration figures — released late last month — show GOP registration in the state is at a historic low of 31.1 percent. While Democrats are gaining voters in key districts, Republican voters are in many cases reregistering as independent “decline-to-state” voters. New voters are also choosing to register as decline to state, rather than as Republican.
(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...
Not a surprise. Wealth producers are leaving the state. It doesn’t take a genius to see what party will become stronger.
Immigration is the reason along with white flight.
Another couple of years drought like they've been having and no one will live there who doesn't have to.
Republicans work for a living so they have long since left the Democratic Peoples Republic of California for states that aren’t as hostile to the industrious.
You mean like Cornyn? I mean Spectre, Collins, Snowe?? Oh you mean Swartzhisnameis
Sad that the state that produced Ronald Reagan has an impotent Republican party now, focused on becoming as ideologically pure as possible
If Cali R’s focused on small business, entreprunership, and limited government, they’d do just fine
Instead the Republican party continues to shoot itself in the foot, and is becoming further and further unelectable in many regions of the country
Just read a post today from a freeper that’s leaving CA.
Ping
Legal immigration is killing CA even more than illegal immigration. 87% of all legal immigrants are minorities. Immigrants and minorities vote Dem. California is the canary in the coal mine. The US will look like California by 2050, i.e., one in three Hispanic and one in five foreign born.
I remember that zipperhead, Bob Dornan, who thought his seat in Orange County was nice and safe and he didn’t have to leave his palatial estate near DC.
So Loretta Sanchez got all the legals and illegals in Santa Ana precinct to vote and she won. That was the only precinct she won as I remember.
Dornan shoulda campaigned and not been such a media whore.
Republicans are currently irrelevant in any enclosed region dominated by cities, minorities and universities. The first two gots to have they benefits; the latter are just automatically communist-majority. And they are community-organized to vote heavily and often.
The dems have a problem, though. The takers outnumber the givers in those places. That can be kited along for a while, but bailouts have their limits.
My question is, are we just going to give up California and its 55 EV’s for good and just keep coming up with excuses?
Or are we going to try and tailor our conservative message to those who would be receptive of it if we weren’t such morons in talking about it?
My question is, are we just going to give up California and its 55 EV’s for good and just keep coming up with excuses?
Or are we going to try and tailor our conservative message to those who would be receptive of it if we weren’t such morons in talking about it?
I'm not far behind, I'm afraid. I just sent in my taxes today. Those thieves took a five figure sum from me this year.
What California heat? This has been one of the coldest winters in memory. It's April, but it feels like December.
For example we normally get rain, even hurricanes. Southern California, in contrast, is provided all of its water through a number of large pipes.
Some leftwingtard terrorist group interested in driving out the Anglos and giving Southern Cal to the Mexicans is just bound to blow up those pipes.
Of course it won't work since even Mexicans have to use some water to survive.
For some reason I imagine Janet Napolitano is right now overlooking important intelligence on her desk concerning the threat posed by Mexican terrorist groups.
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