Posted on 03/31/2009 4:16:49 AM PDT by Rummyfan
Back during the election campaign, I was on the radio and a caller demanded to know what I made of the persistent rumor that Barack Obama was born in Kenya. I doubt it, I said. Its perfectly obvious he was born in Stockholm. Okay, maybe Brussels or Strasbourg. And the host gave an appreciative titter, and I made a mental note to start working up a little Barack Obama, the first European Prime Minister to be elected President of the United States shtick for maybe a year into the first term.
But here we are 20 minutes in, and full-scale Europeanization is already under way: Europeanized health care, Europeanized daycare, Europeanized college education, Europeanized climate-change policy Obamas pseudo-SOTU speech was Americas first State of the European Union address, in which the president deftly yoked the language of American exceptionalism to the cause of European statism. Apparently, nothing testifies to the American virtues of self-reliance, entrepreneurial energy and the can-do spirit like joining the vast army of robotic extras droning in unison, The government needs to do more for me For the moment, Washington is offering Euro-sized government with Euro-sized economic intervention, Euro-sized social programs and Euro-sized regulation. But apparently not Euro-sized taxation.
Hmm. Even the Europeans havent attempted that trick. But dont worry, if that pledge not to increase taxes on families earning under $250,000 doesnt have quite the Continental sophistication youre looking for in your federal government, I doubt it will be operative very long.
Most Americans dont yet grasp the scale of the Obama project. The naysayers complain, oh, its another Jimmy Carter, or its the new New Deal, or its LBJs Great Society applied to health care You should be so lucky. Forget these parochial nickelndime comparisons. Its all those multiplied a gazillionfold and nuclearized or Europeanized, which is less dramatic but ultimately more lethal. For a distressing number of American liberals, the natural condition of an advanced, progressive western democracy is Scandinavia, and the US has just been taking a wee bit longer to get there. Youve probably heard academics talking about the Swedish model, and carelessly assumed they were referring to the Britt Ekland retrospective on AMC. If only. And, incidentally, fond though I am of Britt, the fact that I can think of no Swedish dolly bird of the last 30 years with which to update that gag is itself a telling part of the problem. Anyway, under the Swedish model, state spending accounts for 54 per cent of GDP. In the US, its about 40 per cent. Ten years ago, it was 34 per cent. So were trending Stockholmwards. And why stop there? In Scotland, Northern Ireland and Wales, government spending accounts for between 72 and 78 per cent of the economy, which is about the best a free society can hope to attain this side of complete Sovietization. Fortunately for whats left of Americas private sector, the Welsh model doesnt have quite the same beguiling euphony as the Swedish model. But, even so, if Scandinavia really is the natural condition of an advanced democracy, then were all doomed. And by doomed Im not merely making the usual overheated rhetorical flourish in an attempt to persuade you to stick through the rather dry statistics in the next paragraph, but rather projecting total societal collapse and global conflagration, and all sooner than you think.
There are two basic objections to the wholesale Europeanization of America. The easy one is the economic argument. The short version of late 20th century history is that Continental Europe entirely missed out on the Eighties boom and its Nineties echo. A couple of weeks back, the evening news shows breathlessly announced that US unemployment had risen to seven per cent, the highest in a decade and a half. Yet the worst American unemployment rate is still better than the best French unemployment rate for that same period. Indeed, for much of the 1990s the EU as a whole averaged an unemployment rate twice that of the US and got used to double-digit unemployment as a routine and semi-permanent feature of life. Germany, the economic powerhouse of Europe in the Sixties and Seventies, is now a country whose annual growth rate has averaged 1.1 per cent since the mid-Nineties; where every indicator home ownership, new car registrations is heading down; and in which government agencies have to budget for such novel expenditures as narrowing the sewer lines in economically moribund, fast depopulating municipalities because the existing pipes are too wide to, ah, expedite the reduced flow. Even flushing yourself down the toilet of history is trickier than it looks.
Of course, if youre one of the seemingly endless supply of Americans willing to turn up at the presidents ersatz town meetings to petition the seigneur to take care of your medical bills and your mortgage and the gas in your tank, the Euro-deal looks pretty sweet. When they deign to work, even the French can match the Americans in hourly productivity. Unfortunately for boring things like GDP, the Euro-week has far fewer hours. There are government-mandated maximum 35-hour work weeks, six weeks of paid vacation, more public holidays, and, in the event that, after all that, some unfortunate clerical error still shows the calendar with an occasional five-day week, you can always strike. The upshot is that, while a working American puts in an average 1,800 hours a year, a working German puts in 1,350 hours a year or 25 per cent less.
Its tempting to assume these are deeply ingrained cultural differences. Its The Good Life, full of fun, seems to be the ideal, as the Gallic crooner Sacha Distel smoothly observed. But, in fact, until the Seventies Americans and Europeans put in more or less identical work hours. What happened is that the Protobamas of the Continental political class legislated sloth, and, as is the way, the citizenry got used to it. Indeed, the proposed European Constitution enshrines leisure as a constitutional right. Article II-31: Every worker has the right to limitation of maximum working hours, to daily and weekly rest periods and to an annual period of paid holiday. Theres no First Amendment or Second Amendment, but who needs free speech or guns when life is one gentle swing in the government hammock?
When American commentators notice these numbers, its usually to crank out a why-oh-why-cant-we-be-as-enlightened? op-ed. A couple of years back Paul Krugman wrote a column asserting that, while parochial American conservatives drone on about family values, the Europeans live it, enacting policies that are more family friendly. On the Continent, claims the professor, government regulations actually allow people to make a desirable tradeoff - to modestly lower income in return for more time with friends and family.
As befits a distinguished economist, Professor Krugman failed to notice, that for a continent of family friendly policies, Europe is remarkably short of families. While Americas fertility rate is more or less at replacement level 2.1 seventeen European nations are at what demographers call lowest-low fertility - 1.3 or less - a rate from which no society in human history has ever recovered. Germans, Spaniards, Italians and Greek have upside-down family trees: four grandparents have two children and one grandchild. The numbers are grim, and getting grimmer. The EU began the century with four workers for every retiree. By 2050, Germany will have 1.1 workers for every retiree. At Oktoberfest a decade or three hence, that fetching young lad in the lederhosen serving you your foaming stein will be singlehandedly propping up entire old folks homes. Except he wont. Hell have scrammed and headed off to Australia in search of a livelier youth scene, or at any rate a livelier late-middle-aged scene. And the guy taking his place in the beer garden wont be wearing lederhosen because hell be Muslim and they dont like to expose their knees. And, come to think of it, hes unlikely to be serving beer, either. The EU would need at least another 50 million immigrants working immigrants, that is (theyre not always, especially with Euro-welfare) to keep wrinkly old Gerhard and Jean-Claude in the social programs to which theyve become accustomed.
To run the numbers is to render them absurd: Its not about economic performance, public pensions liabilities, entitlement reform. Something more profound is at work. Europe has entered a long dark Oktoberfest of the soul, drinking to oblivion in the autumn of the year, as les feuilles mortes pile up all around.
Lets take the second part of Paul Krugmans assertion: These family-friendly policies certainly give you more time. For what? High-school soccer and 4-H at the county fair? No. As weve seen, kids not called Mohammed are thin on the ground. God? No. When you worship the state-as-church, you dont need to bother showing up to Mass anymore. Civic volunteerism? No. All but extinct on the Continent. So what do Europeans do with all that time? Do they paint, write, make movies? Not sos youd notice. Not compared to 40 years ago. Never mind Bach or even Offenbach, these days the French cant produce a Sacha Distel or the Germans a Bert Kaempfert, the boffo Teuton bandleader who somewhat improbably managed to play a critical role in the careers of the three biggest Anglophone pop acts of the 20th century he wrote Strangers In The Night for Sinatra, Wooden Heart for Elvis, and produced the Beatles first recording session. If that sounds like a Trivial Pursuit answer, its not. Eutopia turned out to be the trivial pursuit; to produce a Bert Kaempfert figure right now would be a major accomplishment Europe cant quite muster the energy for. Give people plenty and security, and they will fall into spiritual torpor, wrote Charles Murray in In Our Hands. When life becomes an extended picnic, with nothing of importance to do, ideas of greatness become an irritant. Such is the nature of the Europe syndrome.
The key word here is give. When the state gives you plenty when it takes care of your health, takes cares of your kids, takes care of your elderly parents, takes care of every primary responsibility of adulthood its not surprising that the citizenry cease to function as adults: Life becomes a kind of extended adolescence literally so for those Germans whove mastered the knack of staying in education till theyre 34 and taking early retirement at 42 (which sounds a lot like where Obamas college-for-all plans will lead).
Genteel decline can be very agreeable - initially: You still have terrific restaurants, beautiful buildings, a great opera house. And once the pressures off its nice to linger at the sidewalk table, have a second café au lait and a pain au chocolat, and watch the world go by. At the Munich Security Conference in February, President Sarkozy demanded of his fellow Continentals, Does Europe want peace, or do we want to be left in peace? To pose the question is to answer it. Alas, it only works for a generation or two, and then, as the gay bar owners are discovering in a fast Islamifying Amsterdam, reality reasserts itself.
In 2003, the IMF conducted a study of Eurosclerosis and examined the impact on chronic unemployment and other woes if the Eurozone labor market were to be Americanized thats to say, increase participation in the work force, reduce taxes and job-for-life security, etc. The changes would be tough, but over the long-term beneficial. But its too late for that: Whats changed is the disposition of the people: If its unsustainable, who cares? As long as they can sustain it till Im dead. Thats the second and most critical objection to Europeanization: It corrodes self-reliance very quickly, to the point where even basic survival instincts can be bred out of society in a generation or two. In America Alone, I cited a headline that seemed almost too perfect a summation of a Continent where entitlement addiction trumps demographic reality: Frenchman Lived With Dead Mother To Keep Pension. She was 94 when she croaked, so shed presumably been getting the government check for a good three decades, but hey its 700 euros a month. He kept her corpse under a pile of newspapers in the living room for five years, and put on a womans voice whenever the benefits office called. Since my book came out, readers send me similar stories on a regular basis: An Austrian woman lived with the mummified remains of her aunt for a year, Vienna police said Wednesday. In Europe, nothing is certain except death and welfare, and why let the former get in the way of the latter?
Its interesting that it never occurred to the IMF that anyone would be loopy enough to try their study the other way around to examine the impact on America of Europeanization. For that, we had to wait for the election of Barack Obama. Which brings us to the third problem of Europeanization: What are the consequences for the world if the hyperpower embarks on the same form of assisted suicide as the rest of the west? In quite the wackiest essay Foreign Policy has ever published, Parag Khanna of the Brookings Institution argued that the European Union was now the worlds first metrosexual superpower. And he meant it as a compliment. Mr Khannas thesis is that, unlike the insecure American cowboy, Europe is secure enough in its hard power to know when to deploy a little sweet-smelling soft power. Seriously:
The EU has become more effectiveand more attractivethan the United States on the catwalk of diplomatic clout Metrosexuals always know how to dress for the occasion (or mission) but its best done by donning Armani pinstripes rather than U.S. Army fatigues Even Turkey is freshening up with eau dEurope Stripping off stale national sovereignty (thats so last century), Europeans now parade their pooled power, the new look for this geopolitical season
Brand Europe is taking over Europes flashy new symbol of power, the Airbus 380, will soon strut on runways all over Asia...But dont be deceived by the metrosexual superpowers pleatless pantsEurope hasnt lost touch with its hard assets Europes 60,000-troop Rapid Reaction Force will soon be ready to deploy around the world Just as metrosexuals are redefining masculinity, Europe is redefining old notions of power and influence. Expect Bend It Like Brussels to play soon in capital cities worldwide.
And on and on, like one of those pieces an editor runs when he wants to get fired and go to Tuscany to write a novel. The Airbus 380 is a classic stillborn Eurostatist money pit, the Rapid Reaction Force cant deploy anywhere beyond a Europe Day parade down the Champs Elysee, and given that the governing Socialist caucus on the Brussels city council already has a Muslim majority I doubt theyll be bending it themselves that much longer. This is the logical reductio of the Robert Kagan thesis that Americans are from Mars, Europeans are from Venus. Its truer to say that Europeans are from Pluto, which was recently downgraded to dwarf planet status. A dwarf superpower doesnt have policies, it has attitudes in part, because thats all it can afford. An America that attempts Euro-scale social programs would have to reel in its military expenditures. After all, Europe could only introduce socialized health care and all the rest because the despised cowboy across the ocean was picking up the tab for the continents defense. So for America to follow the EU down the same social path would have huge strategic implications for everyone else, not least Europe. We would be joining the Continentals in prancing around in Armani pinstripes and eau dEurope as the bottom dropped out of our hard assets. And Putin, Kim Jong-il, the mullahs et al might not find the perfume as heady as Mr Khanna does.
Even in its heyday the Sixties and Seventies - the good times in Europe were underwritten by the American security guarantee: The only reason why France could get away with being France, Belgium with being Belgium, Sweden with being Sweden is because America was America. Kagans thesis Americans are from Mars, Europeans are from Venus will look like paradise lost when the last conventional great power of western civilization embraces the death-cult narcissism of its transatlantic confreres in the full knowledge of where that leads. Why would you do anything so crazy? Ah, but these are crazy times: Europeans are from Pluto, Americans are from Goofy.
Thanks!
The biggest mistake we as a nation ever made, IMHO, is in not limiting the priviledge of voting to property owners and/or people who actually pay income tax.
Rush is far better in his own medium of radio.
But the obverse is also true.
Steyn is Rush in black and white.
"I never laughed so hard while being depressed."
It goes back to FDR...once Americans became dependent on the government for their livelihood; all bets were off and the Democrat (”Mommy”) Party was off and running with a base that would guarantee their prominence in American politics ad infinitum. Now we have the ‘Rats wanting to allow illegals to be able to obtain a driver’s license when everyone knows that ANYONE from ANY COUNTRY can drive in America legally as long as they have a legal driver’s license from their home country...of course. what the ‘Rats reeeeeeeeely want is for the illegals to be able to go to the DMV and obtain an American driver’s license and then go to the next window and REGISTER TO VOTE. Voila! Another multi-millon group of voters who are dependent on the “Mommy” Party and the government for their livelihood...and the beat goes on and on and on ...
Who says “Communism is dead!”
Nailed It!
Moral Clarity BUMP !
This ping list is not author-specific for articles I'd like to share. Some for the perfect moral clarity, some for provocative thoughts; or simply interesting articles I'd hate to miss myself. (I don't have to agree with the author all 100% to feel the need to share an article.)
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The problem with that argument is that 99% of Americans have already fallen into "spiritual torpor" without even having National Health Care. The great in America will still do great things no matter what Obama comes up with...they just might find themselves doing them in Shanghai or Singapore.
The corrolary to this is that, after a few generations, there's no brothers, no sisters, no aunts, no uncles and no cousins.
BTTT
Just brilliant. Should be used as an ad for the GOP nationally. But the GOP isn’t smart enough to do it. Still the Stupid Party while the Evil Party gets away with murder.
Excellent! Thanks for posting.
bump
I read the book a while ago . . . well worth the time.
Be prepared to be unnerved.
bttt
Thanks for the ping.
Ping to print out for my lefty friends!
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