You wanna take a wild stab at how many seats we’ll pick up in 2010 for House and Senate?
Wild guess would be all I could do. Until we see who actually decides to get in the races, it’s hard to tell. You can’t beat somebodies with nobodies. I think the Senate side of things looks bad. We could, even under better circumstances, lose more seats. Weak bench and poor opportunities. Even this article presumes Simmons runs, and he hasn’t declared. It’s no guarantee of a win, though. The GOP has performed terribly in CT with respect to Senate races. The last to win was the horrid liberal Weicker in (1971-89). Before him was Prescott Bush in ‘56 (and I believe even he was a fairly liberal Republican).
I think we’ll clearly pick up seats in the House, but the gains will range from modest (10) to decent (25), but we’ve got to pick up 40 (39 with Tedisco in NY, but might as well say 40 because of the fluke win in NOLA, and Cao won’t win a second term short of a miracle) in order to win a one-seat majority. Could we win 40 ? Yes, if this becomes a full-on Depression (which has very good odds). But we can’t win back the Senate as it stands now.
It’s too early to tell. But I’ll go ahead and predict a GOP house, why not. There have been huge swings in house seats in the past.
The freaking Senate is another matter.
Nothing sticks to Dodd.Not waitress sandwiches,not consecutively numbered 5,000 dollar checks from Buddhist monks as the co-chair of the DNC in ‘96,on and on.No-one in Washington has more baggage without a scratch than Chris Dodd!