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Dick Morris: Coming next year: Obama's inflation
The Hill ^ | March 3, 2009 | Dick Morris

Posted on 03/04/2009 1:25:30 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

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To: DonaldC

Those of us in Duluth, Mn. were lucky as far as gas lines go. We were not one of the big population centers.

Friday and Sunday nights could get hairy, though


61 posted on 03/04/2009 2:04:38 PM PST by lakertaker (Still clinging bitterly to my guns and religion)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

ping


62 posted on 03/04/2009 2:10:17 PM PST by diamond6 (Is SIDS preventable? www.Stopsidsnow.com)
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To: muawiyah

A company called Delft in Nederlands is actually manufacturing silver out of other substances


Is that what they are using the Super Collider for?


63 posted on 03/04/2009 2:10:21 PM PST by broncobilly
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To: Im4realamerica
They're selling this newly manufactured silver in THREE different atomic weights.

No one knows yet what they are making it out of.

Then there are the guys who found a potassium or phosphorus isotope that's actually the long sought after "transparent aluminum" made up purely of aluminum crystals ~ not in combination as a sulfite for example. No doubt true transparent aluminum will turn into a tradeable commodity as soon as they figure out how to separate it from the other kinds of aluminum crystals. The fact that it was mistaken for a potassium or phosphorus isotope for a century should give us a clue on how easy this is going to be.

Delft says it's not making gold at this time.

64 posted on 03/04/2009 2:15:12 PM PST by muawiyah
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To: DonaldC

Mortgage rates and fees are about to go through the roof when the law gives judges the right to lower the principal of your loan. As if housing didn’t have enough problems.

And I said it earlier in the year, O’s mortgage bail out is all smoke and mirrors. Those who are “credit worthy” aren’t behind in their payments.


65 posted on 03/04/2009 2:16:49 PM PST by Terry Mross (I Hate All Politicians, Republicans Included.)
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To: broncobilly
No, this is a trick with different kinds of atoms. It's basic chemistry ~ however, instead of forming a salt, you take a couple of different types of atoms and schmooze their nuclei in real close together such that they share valence bands of the same electrons.

The result is a substance that's chemically "identical" to some other element ~ but maybe with some minor differences here and there AND, best of all, with a different atomic weight than you'd otherwise have guessed.

Let's say you can take hydrogen and helium and squeeze them together such that they form a substance that's chemically identical to titanium. The big deal would be that it would still weigh less than air. You could build super strong metallic structures lighter than feathers and able to be tossed about by modest magnetic fields. (NOTE: Not that you can do that but I'm sure you see the idea).

One of the favorite deals being done by the guys into "super atoms" is to take a gold film maybe 2 microns thick and then build never before seen in nature crystals on top of that film using other elements. They start the first layer of the crystal by squeezing the gold nucleus into close proximity with the nucleus of the other element(s) and then go from there.

This is the exact opposite of creating a substance and then gold plating it ~ here you start with the plating and build the substance TO THE CHARACTERISTICS YOU WANT.

I'm busy trying to find some company that's got a commercially marketable product built this way.

Note, if you think the current financial collapse is really bad wait until this stuff hits the market and undercuts all products, all commoditities, and everything else you can think of. Everybody will feel like the buggy whip manufacturers when Elwood Haynes and Karl Benz started rolling real production automobiles out the door in 1894.

66 posted on 03/04/2009 2:24:44 PM PST by muawiyah
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Dick gets a lot right.


67 posted on 03/04/2009 2:26:53 PM PST by genghis
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To: Tarpon

Obama is COUNTING on hyperinflation on the money supply and fixed rates on the national debt. The people holding t-bills will be screwed royally getting paid in paper money that is worth far less than a year ago.


68 posted on 03/04/2009 2:27:34 PM PST by Blood of Tyrants (The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money. Margret Thatcher)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
...the money supply in the United States has increased by 271 percent. It has almost tripled.

300% is not tripled.
69 posted on 03/04/2009 2:33:20 PM PST by stylin19a (Obama - the ethical exception asterisk administration)
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To: Nervous Tick

Cash is a doomed investment. That much is easy enough to understand.

but...

What to do with it?
When?
Will the onset of inflation be sudden, or will there be a ramp?
Will there be a separate, delayed bottom in other asset classes, like real estate?
Will the signs be clear? Will I miss them?
Will I jump prematurely at a *false* sign?


The conventional wisdom is to buy tangibles. If you are certain society will be fine and dandy, and will merely experience an inflationary effect, then invest in funds that are inflation hedges, like commodities (oil, gold).

If you think there is a risk of unrest and disruption, then invest in tangibles you keep on hand, like storage food, guns and ammo, etc. If you have more to invest, then buy “junk” (1964 and older) silver coins, and gold bullion coins. www.tulving.com has good prices and is reputable.

Keep in mind that your objective should not be to time the bottom to buy in. If you believe inflation is inevitable, then enjoy the current period (a year or more?) when you can still buy all these things at reasonable prices. The longer you are “wrong” (gold goes down, not up) the better off you are because you can buy in more cheaply, and secure your position for the inflationary period.

If you currently have a big wad in cash or stocks, then you could take the risk of buying all on one day, Wich I don’t advise. Instead, put in 10% each month for 10 months and average out the risks. If you are feeling lucky, buy on the day each month when it looks like gold (or your chosen item) has dipped more than expected. If you will be investing out of earnings for the next year, then you actually want gold (or whatever you’re buying) to go down so you can buy more before it takes off.

If you believe that there could be nasty disruptions, then consider whether you would be better off having your assets in a brokerage account, safe deposit box, a hole in the backyard, or something else. If you are keeping any on hand, seriously weigh the risk of theft (home invasion gun to the head) so practice EXTREME secrecy, even if you’d like to show off your glittery treasure. And don’t put all your eggs in one basket, and be creative.

Also, one of the great inflation hedges is DEBT. But only fixed rate long term debt. Be sure your house is financed with a long-term mortgage at a fixed rate (under 5 or 6%) if you can safe a point by refinancing, that’s nice, but the real difference will be ~5 years from now if interest rates are 15%, and you’re paying off your loan with dollars that have a small fraction of their current value. Don’t even consider variable rate loans (though a line of credit can make sense just to have on hand).

In the ideal world, you’ll have enough saved in tangibles (like gold coins) to pay off your mortgage if you wanted to when inflation has increased the price of gold by 4 times. that means putting 25% of your mortgage dept into tangibles.

Not that I advocate paying off the mortgage should that come to pass. You should average out of a major asset just like you average in.

Basically, if you really believe things are going to go inflationary, then there is an easy way to win (or at least preserve your wealth while most others are losing theirs). The real challenge is deciding when the crisis is over, and when to sell what you bought to get you through the crisis.


70 posted on 03/04/2009 2:35:04 PM PST by Atlas Sneezed
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To: Tallguy
agh...I really do need to read every post before I post.
If a guy can't do simple math, what else is wrong in his column ?
71 posted on 03/04/2009 2:35:48 PM PST by stylin19a (Obama - the ethical exception asterisk administration)
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To: Nervous Tick

Try not to worry or fear, because you must remember the lesson of JOB in the Bible:

“The thing I feared the most has come upon me”>>>and life works that way. We discuss some worst case scenarios, but truthfully we will do better if we push fear out the window, and know that God will help us all.


72 posted on 03/04/2009 2:39:26 PM PST by Kackikat
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To: thefactor

if you have high job security, should you be spending money now in anticipation of this type of inflation?


As I write above, you should get a long-term low interest mortgage.

You should buy inflation hedges that are resellable at market price (not just “spending” on vacations, jet-skis, etc.)


73 posted on 03/04/2009 2:40:05 PM PST by Atlas Sneezed
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To: Beelzebubba

What do you suggest buying that can be resold at market value? Curious.


74 posted on 03/04/2009 2:42:07 PM PST by ChinaThreat (3)
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To: Blood of Tyrants

Obama is COUNTING on hyperinflation on the money supply and fixed rates on the national debt. The people holding t-bills will be screwed royally getting paid in paper money that is worth far less than a year ago.


And the entitlement crisis will be solved!


75 posted on 03/04/2009 2:42:51 PM PST by Atlas Sneezed
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

This is one of the reasons, IMHO, that BO is moving so fast. He wants to get all this done before (other than the stock market), the financial affects start hitting EVERYONE.


76 posted on 03/04/2009 2:43:02 PM PST by FrogMom (No such thing as an honest democrat!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

BUMP


77 posted on 03/04/2009 2:45:29 PM PST by Centurion2000 (01-20-2009 : The end of the PAX AMERICANA.)
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To: Liberty1970
Can anyone comment on how plausible it is that the Fed can change course and restrict the money supply when the time comes, without more economic havoc?

1930's style income tax rates come to mind.

This is the year, top rate and top bracket.

1932 63 1,000,000
1933 63 1,000,000
1934 63 1,000,000
1935 63 1,000,000
1936 79 5,000,000
1937 79 5,000,000
1938 79 5,000,000
1939 79 5,000,000

78 posted on 03/04/2009 2:55:18 PM PST by Centurion2000 (01-20-2009 : The end of the PAX AMERICANA.)
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To: muawiyah
A company called Delft in Nederlands is actually manufacturing silver out of other substances.

I'd be careful buying silver.

Elemental transmutation? That'd be a real neat trick. Ain't happening unless you are talking about someone faking silver.

79 posted on 03/04/2009 2:57:01 PM PST by Centurion2000 (01-20-2009 : The end of the PAX AMERICANA.)
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To: muawiyah
The result is a substance that's chemically "identical" to some other element ~ but maybe with some minor differences here and there AND, best of all, with a different atomic weight than you'd otherwise have guessed.

Then it's not real silver.

80 posted on 03/04/2009 2:59:30 PM PST by Centurion2000 (01-20-2009 : The end of the PAX AMERICANA.)
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