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BUFFETT: I WAS 'DUMB' (sends 21 page letter to shareholders)
NY POST ^ | 3/2/08 | RICHARD WILNER

Posted on 03/02/2009 5:38:55 AM PST by Liz

IN LETTER, ORACLE ADMITS TO ERRORS IN WORST-EVER '08

Warren Buffett admitted to doing some "dumb things" in 2008 - the worst year for Berkshire Hathaway in the 44 years he has run it. A brutal stock market decline amid a teeth-gnashing recession pushed Omaha-based Berkshire to a 96% drop in profits, its fifth straight quarterly earnings decline. Buffett, known as the Oracle of Omaha for his decades-long record of picking value investments, said buying ConocoPhillips shares when gas and oil prices were at their peak was perhaps the dumbest move in 2008. Berkshire bought 84.9 million shares at $82 a share - it closed Friday at $37.25, Buffett's paper loss was $2.6B. "I still believe the odds are good that oil sells far higher in the future than the current $40-$50 [per barrel] price," Buffett wrote... "But so far I have been dead wrong." ......Buffett explained to shareholders his investment philosophy - ".....pessimism is your friend, euphoria the enemy"......... in discussing Berkshire's buying and selling of derivatives, the seemingly indecipherable risk insurance product, Buffett told shareholders: "I expected these contracts to show a profit at expiration. Now, with the recession deepening at a rapid rate, the possibility of an eventual loss has increased." Buffett chided private equity firms, mortgage brokers, non-banks converted into banks to gain low-cost federal financing, monoline bond insurers and a host of other companies that helped bring about or are, in his view, gaining an unfair advantage during the recession.

(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Extended News
KEYWORDS: 2008electionbias; billionaires; billionaires4obama; buffett; buyersremorse; howtostealanelection; obamanomics; obamavoter; usefulidiot; warrenbuffett; zogbyism
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To: baltoga

“Equity is falling faster than it can be taxed. Perhaps there is a correlation?”

I think you are on to something.


41 posted on 03/02/2009 6:34:59 AM PST by ChessExpert (Barack Hussein Obama's America: the land of the regulated and the home of the taxed)
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To: Liz

BUFFETT: I WAS ‘DUMB’

....First step is admitting the mistake....


42 posted on 03/02/2009 6:37:37 AM PST by Le Chien Rouge
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To: Lady GOP
The major thing preventing inflation right now is that it will discourage Asians (manily ChiComs) from buying our debt.

Europe is getting it a lot worse than us-- which is why the dollar has gained ground against the Euro and UK Pound, but lost against the yen.

Under these circumstances, we will continue to have an easier time selling debt than Europe.

43 posted on 03/02/2009 6:43:53 AM PST by Vigilanteman (Are there any men left in Washington? Or, are there only cowards? Ahmad Shah Massoud)
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To: Le Chien Rouge
"I still believe the odds are good that oil sells far higher in the future than the current $40-$50 [per barrel] price," Buffett wrote

Buffet is invested in energy prices going up, so which side of the cap & trade (scam "global warming" carbon tax scheme based on total acceptance of perhaps the greatest lie of all time and source of Obama's 57 billion est. 2009 budget energy tax revenue increase) fence do you think he is on?
44 posted on 03/02/2009 6:53:26 AM PST by TimPatriot
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To: GBA
You, sir, are a dumbass.

No, it's an annoying act. He's the master of ah shuckism, meant to deflect anger and resentment. The reason he supports the Democrats is envy deflection, just like all other limousine liberals. He has more to worry about from the left side of the bell curve than from conservatives. He's perfected the act and it works every time. His "approval ratings" among the hoi polloi are amazingly high for an old rich white man playing an act.

45 posted on 03/02/2009 6:54:08 AM PST by Reeses (Leftism is powered by the evil force of envy.)
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To: Sister_T
Yes, I drive a Subaru..it confuses Liberals. subaru
46 posted on 03/02/2009 6:57:06 AM PST by ladyvet (WOLVERINES!!!!!)
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To: Liz

“among Buffet’s dumbest moves.....purchasing large amounts of newspaper chains, which have continued to bottom out, and for which there is no future.”

Buffet, the Whoreacle from Omaha. is a liberal fund manager. Liberal fund managers have kept the dinosaur fish wraps alive the past 3-5 years by buying their soon to be worthless stock with their fund owner’s money.


47 posted on 03/02/2009 6:58:56 AM PST by Grampa Dave (Zer0's friends are criminals, foreign/domestic terrorists, perverts, sexual deviates or tax cheats!)
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To: ladyvet

“Yes, I drive a Subaru..it confuses Liberals.”

It would confuse me out here in Wino Country, Californicator.

A couple of weeks ago my wife and I saw the usually liberal Volvo station wagon loaded with anti Obama/Rat stickers and pro Palin stickers. She laughed and said the old Volvo was probably dying from a split personality.


48 posted on 03/02/2009 7:04:30 AM PST by Grampa Dave (Zer0's friends are criminals, foreign/domestic terrorists, perverts, sexual deviates or tax cheats!)
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To: Liz

“buying ConocoPhillips shares when gas and oil prices were at their peak was perhaps the dumbest move in 2008.”

I would put endorsing Obama as his dumbest move.


49 posted on 03/02/2009 7:06:22 AM PST by ColdWater
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To: Liz

If he had any guts he’d tell the American people his biggest mistake......supporting a socialist takeover by Obama and his Chicago thugs.


50 posted on 03/02/2009 7:07:10 AM PST by kenmcg (cOMMBYAH)
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To: Lee'sGhost
I have no reason to think so, nor do others that are in the know. FUBO & Co. will most certainly continue the policies that have wrought this disaster. They have a mandate from their "children".


From Denninger's article ...


" ... As things stand today I have no confidence whatsoever that The Obama Administration has any intention to act according to law any more than George Bush's Administration did.

As a consequence until and unless the government's position and actions change my "base case" economic forecast must remain bearish and over time continue to grow more bearish; without the 2/3rds of all capital that is private in our economy, even with supplanting of that capital from the government (to the extent it is able) I believe we are looking at a potential 30% contraction in GDP from top to bottom and unemployment reaching north of 20% on U-6 (broad form), with the very real possibility of a 20% headline number ...
"

51 posted on 03/02/2009 7:07:23 AM PST by G.Mason
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To: frankiep

From “Oracle of Omaha” to “Oracle of Obama”.


52 posted on 03/02/2009 7:17:26 AM PST by The Duke (I have met the enemy, and he is named 'Apathy'!)
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To: Sister_T

For Us By Us! It’s a black thing!


53 posted on 03/02/2009 7:19:53 AM PST by ontap (Just another backstabbing conservative)
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To: G.Mason
As things stand today I have no confidence whatsoever that The Obama Administration has any intention to act according to law any more than George Bush's Administration did.

Because of course, under George Bush, the stock market hit 13,000 not once, but TWICE.

54 posted on 03/02/2009 7:21:36 AM PST by Right Cal Gal (Abraham Lincoln would have let Berkeley leave the Union without a fight)
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To: Liz
I remember seeing this ahole on the TV praising candidate “good feely up my leg” and screaming at the TV “are you “f”ing nuts. How could a rich capitalist be this stupid. I hope he as many loses to come. JERK! He is also one of the tax the rich bastards!
55 posted on 03/02/2009 7:26:44 AM PST by ontap (Just another backstabbing conservative)
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To: Right Cal Gal
"Because of course, under George Bush, the stock market hit 13,000 not once, but TWICE."


I'm certain that statement means something, but for the life of me I can't figure out what it is exactly.

Sorry.

56 posted on 03/02/2009 7:28:48 AM PST by G.Mason
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To: Liz
said buying ConocoPhillips shares when gas and oil prices were at their peak was perhaps the dumbest move in 2008

That's what you get when you try to sway an election by inflating the price of gas through speculation. Dumbcrats in the MSM were shouting on tv that the price could hit $300 a barrel. DUMB. PROPAGANDA.

When you cook the books always remember to keep an honest book for yourself.

57 posted on 03/02/2009 7:52:03 AM PST by a fool in paradise ("Do you know the website number?" - VP Joe Biden)
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To: Liz

Clarification:

Dear Shareholders,

I actively participated in an effort to undermine the US economy so I could bring about a personal political preference that I knew would be bad for the nation. I joined my fortunes with those of George Soros and other wealthy individuals to subvert the welfare of our country. Please don’t hold this against me because I enjoy the fawning media that pretends that I am a benign rich person because I support Democrats.

Thanks so much,

Warren Buffet


58 posted on 03/02/2009 8:07:08 AM PST by lonestar67 (Israel is not the enemy.)
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To: Liz

I’ve always found it facinating how some of the richest people in this country always back the party that “hates” the rich. You’d think even the dumbest people would find something odd about that, wouldn’t you?


59 posted on 03/02/2009 8:21:31 AM PST by McGavin999
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To: lonestar67

Heh-—beautiful.


60 posted on 03/02/2009 8:33:34 AM PST by Liz (I was like Snow White, then I drifted. Mae West (on liberalism).)
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