Let’s see. Snowe and Collins are in states that are so Democratic that nobody can figure out how Republicans get re-elected there in the first place. If you knock them off they will certainly go Democratic.
Voinovich is already not running so you don’t need to knock him off. But Ohio is certainly no sure bet to put in a Republican especially as times get worse and after the McConnell lead fiasco of obstructionism on the stimulus bill. How tone-deaf is our Republican leadership? Getting a better stimulus bill would have been something to be proud of but to the average American McConnell and his crowd came across as uncaring, out-of-touch and ruthlessly partisan. That’s how you lose an election.
Specter knows that Pennsylvania is moving leftward as well and he’s unlikely to move to the right because he wants to get re-elected. Knocking him off would also probably increase the probability of a Democrat winning there too.
With Gregg bowing out and Martinez not running both of these states have a really strong chance of moving into the Democratic column in 2010. Be careful which Republican you target to take down because we’re already in trouble. Two more senators and the Republicans won’t even have a say in things.