Posted on 11/19/2008 11:11:48 AM PST by Clintonfatigued
Democrats gained two US Senate seats in the South this year, three if Jim Martin (D) defeats US Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R-GA) in the December 2 runoff. In two years, however, the GOP will have little opportunity to reverse the Democratic trend in Dixie’s senate delegation. Of the nine Southern members of the US Senate up for re-election in 2010, eight are Republicans, only one, Arkansas’s Blanche Lincoln, is a Democrat. So numbers alone indicate that the Democrats have a major advantage going into the next election two years from now.
The political battlefield may have a set of issues heavily favoring one party or the other in 2010. Much will depend on the record of incoming President Barack Obama, particularly the state of the economy in 2010 and how he will have handled any national security problems that may arise before then. Nevertheless, some factors on the political landscape already give early indications of what might happen in two years.
Here is a thumbnail rundown of the prospects for the US Senate races in 2010.
(Excerpt) Read more at southernpoliticalreport.com ...
I certainly hope “democrat” will equal “poison” in the south in 2008.
But a net gain of senate seats is not assured.
Florida politically isn’t southern except for the northwest area. Martinez is not liked. Hopefully he quits.
lets be very clear here.....Saxby has already won his senate seat but not by over 50%....in other states or even the presidency, there would be no recount or revote...
BUT!
In 2012 there will be a reapportionment of House seats following the results of the 2010 census and the South will pick up lots of house seats at the expense of some blue states, especially NY, PA and CA. That will be good!
Watch how the Obama administration pushes its agenda in the first eight months, and you’ll have a better pulse of likely 2010 political winds... If he pushes hard left, expect Conservative Dem house members to defect (ie. Heath Schuyler, etc) the way that folks like Shelby did after eight months of the Clinton administration. There are no conservative dems in the senate, but Obama does not have an automatic lock on ramrodding his agenda through if the blue dogs side with their constituents (ie Lincoln in Arkansas) and buck party discipline. If Dingy Harry can succeed in keeping the blue dogs in line and rams a hard leftist rat agenda, the dems will be blackened french toast in the south in 2010...
“There are no conservative dems in the senate”
Ben Nelson of Nebraska is comparable to people like Shuler, I wouldn’t call either “conservative”. I don’t expect any party switches unless the GOP takes the majority back and it doesn’t happen en masse there would be no more than a few at most.
Gene Taylor of Mississippi would be the most ‘conservative’ dem in the house. That he hasn’t switched by now and backed Pelosi says a lot, he’ll likely die a demrat. Dan Boren of Oklahoma is another. He knows his state hates Obama.
The headline said: Democrats Could Gain Southern Senators in 2010.
My point was that the Dems have ALREADY gained southern Senators. Hence the “Oh NO.. Too Late!” opening to my post.
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