What were they predicting 1 month, 3 weeks, 2 weeks, 1 week out?
“What were they predicting 1 month, 3 weeks, 2 weeks, 1 week out?”
Very similar amounts when you average the polls together. A lot of folks on here were very quick to somehow spin an Obama+6 average into something that meant little and part some giant conspiracy. Many posters even predicted McCain landslides up until election day. If you questioned the idea of him getting well over 300 they’d attack you.
Some of the mental gymnastics were impressive. Some posters could take an Obama +6 poll and use fancy math to make it look like McCain was up. “If we change the percentage of young voters to this, change party ID numbers to this, change how we weight blacks, etc, etc we have McCain by 19 in California!, etc” There was a lot of wishful thinking and funny math going on.