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25 key counties to watch tonight (Politico)
Politico (For What it's Worth_ ^ | November 4, 2008 | Charles Mahtesian

Posted on 11/04/2008 1:19:55 PM PST by greyfoxx39

In presidential elections, not all counties are created equal.

Generally, the counties that matter most are located in closely contested states, where they play a key role in determining the winner. Thus the most populous county in the U.S. — Los Angeles County, located in safely Democratic California — isn’t nearly as important in determining this election as the 95th largest county — Albuquerque’s Bernalillo County, the gateway to winning the swing state of New Mexico.

(Excerpt) Read more at dyn.politico.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New Mexico
KEYWORDS: elections; mccain; obama
See if you agree with Politico's choices.
1 posted on 11/04/2008 1:19:56 PM PST by greyfoxx39
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To: CedarDave; LegendHasIt; Rogle; leapfrog0202; Santa Fe_Conservative; DesertDreamer; ...

Ping


2 posted on 11/04/2008 1:22:13 PM PST by greyfoxx39 (I voted early in NM..McCain/Palin)
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To: greyfoxx39

I’m surprised to see any mention of Nebraska.


3 posted on 11/04/2008 1:24:06 PM PST by jennyjenny
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To: greyfoxx39

I would say watch Aroostook and Penobscot counties in Maine for a possible 1 EV pick-up for McCain.


4 posted on 11/04/2008 1:24:46 PM PST by buccaneer81 (Bob Taft has soiled the family name for the next century.)
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To: greyfoxx39
I hear from a good source inside the GOP that Hillsborough is coming in HUGE Red. Orlando, too.

I haven't heard about Butler Co., OH, but we checked on Darke County, which went for Bush 2:1 and it's off the charts. They are saying possibly 80% turnout! In Montgomery County, which Kerry won by 2, McCain is doing very well and should win it.

5 posted on 11/04/2008 1:32:46 PM PST by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: buccaneer81

I’m hearing big, big turnout in the Red ME counties too.


6 posted on 11/04/2008 1:33:51 PM PST by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: greyfoxx39

My county, Greene of Missouri, is listed #6. As I’ve said many times in the past few weeks, our county, along with Jasper, Christian and Newton in SW Missouri, is key to the election to offset KC and St. Louis.

McCain needs 60% plus. Voter turnout is heavy here...could be a good sign.


7 posted on 11/04/2008 1:37:32 PM PST by rightinthemiddle (Without the Mainstream Media, the Left is Nothing.)
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To: greyfoxx39

I hardly agree with anything POLITICO says. So, it’s down to counties now? What’s next,,,neighborhoods?


8 posted on 11/04/2008 1:47:01 PM PST by austinaero
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To: greyfoxx39
I live in Jefferson County, Colorado and agree that it is a key county. FWIW, here is the results page for Jeffco (Primary results are up now but should change after 7pm):

http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/CO/Jefferson/7250/index.html

9 posted on 11/04/2008 1:48:38 PM PST by 14erClimb (Sarah Palin: Ronald Reagan in a skirt!)
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To: greyfoxx39

There has been a huge amount of migration during the sub-prime mortgage spree.

Last year’s bellwethers are not this year’s.

I’d be very cautious with bellwether areas this year.

The ones mentioned in the article have probably all seen an influx from the city and efflux to rural areas- making them more Dem. How convenient...


10 posted on 11/04/2008 1:48:45 PM PST by mrsmith
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To: greyfoxx39

ping


11 posted on 11/04/2008 1:49:03 PM PST by bonnieblue4me (You can put lipstick on a donkey (or a dimrat), but it is still an ass!)
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To: greyfoxx39
gf...Happy Election Day...so glad FR is back up (keeping fingers and toes crossed)...

Westmoreland County, PA is my county...and it is not 'trending Republican' it is solid 'R.' People (like PaDad and I) who moved here (WC) left Allegheny County (Pittsburgh) for lower taxes...yes...LOWER TAXES. There are three 0bama signs in my housing plan (of 260 plus homes). There are about 150 plus McCain signs (in combo w/local Rs). At 3:30 (I waited til my 11 got off the bus...he wanted to watch me vote) I had to wait in line. Westmoreland County PA is solid McCain.

And Lancaster...does anyone think the Amish won't go conservative!!!

12 posted on 11/04/2008 3:13:49 PM PST by PennsylvaniaMom ((Rapping) I say 0bama...you say Ayers. 0bama! Ayers! 0bama! Ayers!)
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To: greyfoxx39

Well, we don’t have to worry too much about it here, 150 miles south-south-east of Bernallilo County, but for sur,e Bernallilo and most of the NM counties parallel to and north of it are places to watch closely.


Well, there was a little attempt here for voter suppression similar to what has been happening in Pennsylvania.
http://hotair.com/archives/2008/11/04/fox-black-panther-poll-intimidation-in-pennsylvania/

But since there are no Black Panthers around here, the 0bama campaign had to resort to something even more intimidating: When I went in to vote, the doors to OUR polling place were being ‘blocked’ by two rather chubby, pale faced teenage girls with Obama shirts and hats, armed with clipboards ;-)

Just for grins, I was going to take a photo of them on my way out, but they were gone when I finished voting.

I asked at the polls (2:00PM) if turnout was good, and they said that it was…But I seemed to be the only actual voter in the place (Lots of poll workers), and there was only one other signature on the sign in page with my range of the alphabet.

Every time previously during our elections, just about all the various local, state and national campaigns have people lining the road down to our polling place, waving signs and cheering, just outside the legal limit, but today, other than the two young 0bama girls who were INSIDE the no-campaigning zone, only one of the guys running for Sheriff was out there. Not quite sure what to make of that.

It is pretty windy, with a hint of possible snow for later tonight, but still, I wonder at the lack of enthusiasm.

Drove through town. The two Democrat HQ places had balloons, streamers and activity. The Republican HQ had several cars in front of it, but looked pretty dead otherwise.

Anyway, that’s the report from ‘Upper South Podunk’, NM.


13 posted on 11/04/2008 4:53:06 PM PST by LegendHasIt (Vote for Common Sense '08 ......... OOPS! too late.)
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To: LegendHasIt

Thanks for the report, Legend...I think a lot of people voted early.


14 posted on 11/04/2008 5:13:53 PM PST by greyfoxx39 (I voted early in NM..McCain/Palin)
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To: greyfoxx39
Hello greyfox39, I hope someone can put me on the NM ping list!

I'm an expatriate living in Germany now. My Dad is a native New Mexican from around Chama, and I lived in NM for seven years until I joined the Army. I'm still a resident of NM (Albq.)and vote absentee the most time if I'm not there on vacation. I'd like to keep up on current events in order to help me vote.

Thanks,
Gonzo

15 posted on 11/17/2008 1:33:33 AM PST by GonzoII ("That they may be one...Father")
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To: GonzoII

You have been added, Gonzo..Welcome.


16 posted on 11/17/2008 5:36:24 AM PST by greyfoxx39 (Tagline on vacation during the grand experiment.)
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To: greyfoxx39

Thanks!


17 posted on 11/18/2008 3:40:30 AM PST by GonzoII ("That they may be one...Father")
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