“Looks like TIPP allocated about half of the remaining undecideds, breaking 2 for 1 in favor of Obama.”
Pssssht!...Didn’t McCain’s internal show undecideds breaking 4 to 1 in favor of him?
Whatever McCain's internals, allocating 4% to BHO and 1.9% to JSM assumes a 2:1 reverse Bradley effect. Color me skeptical. Also skeptical about Barr and Nader winning 4.1%. Try about 0.4% each.
I'd look at the 47.5% BHO polls and remember what Rove and Morris said about him polling under 50%, which he is.