[scooby321]

We know 0 is going win the popular vote by 2 to 3% of the vote. But will lose to Mac in Electoral College.

[WalterSkinner]

..some think so—I’m still not convinced...

[johncocktoasten]

That is incorrect. Obama will lose the popular vote by at least 4%. McCain is running ahead of bush in bellweather areas of Ohio and Missouri by 2%+. Bush won both in 2004 by 2.5%. Similar to his popular vote total. 4.5%-5% MOV for McCain.

Watch at 5pm when the first exits leak and they show Obama Up 1 or 2 instead of 6 or 10. The look on Katie’s and Brian W.’s and Chrissy M’s face will be priceless.

[fortheDeclaration]

We know 0 is going win the popular vote by 2 to 3% of the vote. But will lose to Mac in Electoral College.

We know no such thing.

The polls are way off and Obama is not going to get over 45% of the vote.

[ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas]

>>We know 0 is going win the popular vote by 2 to 3% of the vote. But will lose to Mac in Electoral College.<<

The only time anyone has ever been elected POTUS when losing the popular vote by 1% or more was in 1876. Tilden (D) won the votes in Louisiana, Florida, but this was during Reconstruction, and Hayes’s (R) people in the state governments awarded those electoral votes to Hayes, and Hayes eventually was declared the winner.

The other times the popular vote loser won the electoral vote (1888 and 2000) the popular vote margin was less than 1%.