What is your track record on elections?
I have trouble believing the polls, but I would like to know about your past performance. I ask this respectfully. PS tomorrow I vote in Maryland for Sarah Palin, she’s hot!
Send YOUR message to the Enemy and the corrupt towel-head Congress in Washington
who forgot those murdered in the Atrocities and those importantly at Point.
One thing I disagree with him on is Iowa. If Iowa is off the table for McCain, then why was McCain and Palin campaigning there starting Friday? He mention Maine and that Sarah is up there now, a day after McCain was up in NH?
Another thing to consider:
1. Obama looks very tired and not very fired up in contrast to McCain. He’s been that way since last week.
2. McCain looked positively joyous during the speeches I saw him deliver yesterday, last night and today.
3. Hussein flipping off McCain. Would he do that if he was clinging to a lead?
4. McCain said on Fox that he was ecstatic on how the polls have been turning the last 24 hours.
Considering the above, is it possible that the internals of the campaigns are finally turning? Given the type of candidate that Hussein is, his support could easily and quickly collapse.
The announcement of his grandmothers passing (I hear she died on Sunday) could be a Hail Mary attempt to save the campaign.
Thoughts? What are you FReepers seeing in the body language and demeanor of the candidates over these last days?
GOD BLESS Mr. Marston and I totally agree with him and pray that he is correct!
I have to respectfully disagree, no blow out, but I could see a 286-252 McCain win, not much more than that!
Sadly and with a heavy heart, here has been my analogy. Having owned race horses, here is how it is stacking up. The claimer, McCain, is parked four wide, six lengths behind the three year old phenom, Obama. They are at the top of the stretch and McCain is all in and he is not responding to the whip. Obama, is in full stride and the jockey is still having to hold him back.
I remember 1980, and I think we are looking at 1980 again.
The polls were wildly wrong then, and my guess is that the oversampling of and bizarre overweighting for the Democrats in this election cycle is just as wrong.
Of tangential interest, the AOL Presidential Poll keeps putting McCain far in the lead week after week! This is in spite of AOL being so far left most of us have thrown AOL out long ago. I have been participating daily,weekly and hourly and it has really both surprized and encourged me!
Right now MAC is ahead 57% to 38% and 470+/- to (not too many):-) Any thoughts greatly appreciated........
Imagine, McCain holding up a newspaper reading, “Obama Defeats McCain,” while celebrating his election victory tommorrow night or Wednesday morning. Hold this picture in your mind and pray that it happens.
PUMA’s effecting this election?
I have read too many press reports (as well as anecdotal stories on FR) to indicate that dems are in fact voting for McCain. They already are a factor in this election.
I have long predicted a “big” McCain win here on thread after thread, supported in part by my belief that an amazing number of Dems just cannot bring themselves to pull the lever to vote for Obama.
Dems that will have a race issue(Bradley affect), Dems that just cannot get over that he is an inexperienced rookie, Dems with regional and parochial issues (i.e. coal mining in Appalachia) and Dems who are simply pissed off Hillary supporters. I believe that this combined number could be as much as 1/3 of the 18 million Hillary supporters from the primaries.
With about 6 million crossovers in my view, (I know that this number sounds ambitious, but we should not underestimate the power of the 'scorned') the above author's predictions seem quite plausible.
When the smoke clears, the PUMAs are gong to be found to have a huge bearing on the outcome of this election, and the real depth of these PUMAs is simply not being factored into any of the inaccurate polling that we have been seeing. I stand by my prediction of a MAC win and about 6 million PUMAs will be involved in making it happen, as they should.
bump
I have a PUMA friend in western PA. She says she will be happy to vote for “Johnny Mac.” I’m sure there are many more like her here.
Go PUMAS!
Is this guy accounting for the enthusiastic “I’m voting for the black guy ‘cause I’m black too” turnout for Hussein?
Mr. Martson had new updates at the bottom of the link:
http://www.marstonchronicles.info/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=95&Itemid=119
UPDATE: Make that McCain-Palin 310 Obama-Biden 228. I have just been informed that I missed the fact that Sarah Palin took my advice and went to Bangor, Maine. Maine splits two of its electoral votes off and allocates them to the winner in each Congressional District. Congressional District 2 in Northern Maine will give McCain-Palin that one more vote for a margin of 81 electoral votes. I just got back from Maine and New Hampshire not to mention the fact that my branch of the Marston family is all from Machias, Maine.
UPDATE2: RCP has just revised their averages again. They now show North Carolina as positive for McCain-Palin so I have removed it from the second table as a done deal. Florida has dropped from 2.5 to 1.8 points. Ohio has dropped from 4.3 to 3.2 points. Virginia has edged up 0.1 points to 4.3. I have changed the figures to reflect this. It now takes only 278,961 PUMA votes to tie instead of 493,636 just five hours ago. Still think I am crazy? Make up a huge batch of Kool-Aid. We will need truckloads of it.
UPDATE3: Batter up! On deck we have Michigan at 13.0 and Washington at 13.4. These are a real reach, but I will add them to the table if I see any downward movement.
Bump
I believe McCain & Palin will win, but I’m still praying hard!
Well, my track record is no where near 45 years of perfection. Nevertheless, I don't believe McCain will win in MInnesota.