After final results Monday at midnight, I might go to sleep a little happier.
But remember, at this point, it’s the state polls that matters most, not the popular vote. Look at this:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/#data
Scroll down and look at states such as Texas and Mississippi - which no one denies McCain will win - and notice that McCain’s numbers are much less than Bush’s in 2000 and 2004. Then look at True Blue states such as New York and Illinois, and you’ll see that Obama’s is racking up much higher numbers than Gore in 2000 or Kerry in 2004. And THEN remember the last Mason-Dixon poll of battleground states, which has McCain ahead or competitive in the states necessary to win the election.
So it’s very possible that McCain will paint enough states pale red to get to 270, while Obama gets enough bright blue states to win a popular vote victory and lose the election.