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To: Dawn531

After final results Monday at midnight, I might go to sleep a little happier.

But remember, at this point, it’s the state polls that matters most, not the popular vote. Look at this:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/#data

Scroll down and look at states such as Texas and Mississippi - which no one denies McCain will win - and notice that McCain’s numbers are much less than Bush’s in 2000 and 2004. Then look at True Blue states such as New York and Illinois, and you’ll see that Obama’s is racking up much higher numbers than Gore in 2000 or Kerry in 2004. And THEN remember the last Mason-Dixon poll of battleground states, which has McCain ahead or competitive in the states necessary to win the election.

So it’s very possible that McCain will paint enough states pale red to get to 270, while Obama gets enough bright blue states to win a popular vote victory and lose the election.


58 posted on 11/03/2008 12:38:05 PM PST by BCrago66
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To: BCrago66
This poll on the surface would send shivers down Obamites legs but look deeper and it should make them real nervous if not dejected. All these rosey turnout projections by pollsters including fatty Scott Rasmussen and Terrorist Sympathizer John Zogby have ingested into their models is turning out to be wrong, wrong. This polling scandal is unfolding. I hate talking about polls but if you see today hidden behind that useless national number is Obama’s sliding numbers in ALL the battlegrounds and even some Blue States. I like where we are at. Gonna be epic tomorrow night.
72 posted on 11/03/2008 12:47:15 PM PST by pburgh01
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To: BCrago66

Or you are just seeing Obama overperforming in polling generally state to state, which he has quite the habit of doing.


91 posted on 11/03/2008 1:05:27 PM PST by HerrTrigger
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