Posted on 11/02/2008 8:03:25 PM PST by ubaldus
Obama +11 with undecideds allocated. Without allocation: RV O 53 - M 40, LV O 53 - M 42 (in both models).
(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
Zogby is all over the map from one day to the nex. ABC had McCain and 0 tied with independents per National Review, the 4% edge Gallup now shows is razor thin. Not sure what the % differences are with WSJ/Pew.
The biggest cause of the lead is the Dem sampling advantage. Take it away, and you’re looking at a 2 to 3 point nail biter, not a Reagan/Eisenhower style landslide.
If Dems outnumber Republicans by 10% on election days, AND independents vote for Democrats, the GOP is looking at 1932/1964 style wipeout... the party will cease to exist as a force of any kind in national politics for at least the next two years.
Gallup had this a 2 point race a week ago, now it is an 11 point race. Pew had it a 15 point race just DAYS ago, now they have it pegged at 6. Millions of people flipped sides in opposing directions in two different well known polls, at the very same time?
You don’t see anything unusual with the polls this year?
Ahhh... but a poll at 4% can be incorrect as well. McCain needs to only be within 2% of the popular vote to win the electoral college. The recent state poll releases from Mason Dixon and SuveyUSA suggest an Obama national lead of 2 to 3%, not the blowout number suggested by Gallup.
R2000 (Kos) poll is out, and Obama leads by 4 in the daily sample, by 6 in aggregate.
That’s the second daily sample in a row in which the lead is down to 4, and they show McCain +15 with white voters, probably this number will go up to +16 tomorrow.
So, they are predicting a narrow Obama victory, as opposed to Gallup/ABC/WSJ predicted blowouts.
They’ll have an embedded excuse- they didn’t anticipate the “rac” vote
To put it succinctly: no.
But we better be prepared for President
OOOOOOOOBAMMMMMMMMMMAAAAAAA.
“Get it together mate, you’re cracking up.”
LOL! You are right but I gotta say, this is what his name sounds like to me every time I hear it.
Norm- source please?
Only 12% of Ohio are blacks and most of them voted early.
And yet Rasmussen has Obama up only 5 (as of yesterday). What does that tell you?
I guess this'll be their next big miss year, because there is no way that Obama is going to win this thing 55%-44%.
MN:
Obama 49%
McCain 46%
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=f848e0e7-4b37-4480-9248-35238dba01ce
Rove on Fox, just put Ohio in the blue column.
Thanks
Wow...some of those numbers had Obama 10 points or so only to have Clinton win it by 2.6.
Survey USA
Anyway polls are meaningless and they have been used by Obama and his media as the most important weapon to depress the Republican base and try to win the elections.
Tomorrow We Vote. Tomorrow We Win.
Vote McCain/Palin.
Based on media polls and nothing about what will happen tomorrow.
Thanks
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