It’s possible I suppose that the media are deliberately misstating the level of Obama’s support so that when he loses, they can say that it proves either racism or fraud was the cause, but I doubt it. My suspicion is that the GOP is going to get shellacked.
GOP won’t get shellacked.
Polls are also not factoring the number of registered Dems who are actually Republicans (Operation Chaos). My Dad is currently registered as a Dem in TX, because he switched to vote for Hillary in the primaries.
So they are using the inflated Dem numbers to re-weight. It is skewing the numbers.
“Its possible I suppose that the media are deliberately misstating the level of Obamas support”
New Hampshire:
Ras: Obama +7.0
Final: Clinton +2.6
California:
Ras: Obama +1.0
Final: Clinton +9.6
Texas:
Ras: Obama +1.0
Final: Clinton +3.5
2008 Zogby Polls:
NH Primary - Obama by 13 (actual result: Hillary by 3)
CA Primary - Obama by 13 (actual result: Hillary by 10)