[1035rep]

“It’s possible I suppose that the media are deliberately misstating the level of Obama’s support”

New Hampshire:
Ras: Obama +7.0
Final: Clinton +2.6

California:
Ras: Obama +1.0
Final: Clinton +9.6

Texas:
Ras: Obama +1.0
Final: Clinton +3.5

2008 Zogby Polls:

NH Primary - Obama by 13 (actual result: Hillary by 3)

CA Primary - Obama by 13 (actual result: Hillary by 10)

[Dick Holmes]

You're cherrypicking. There were a lot of polls that underestimated Obama in the primaries, too. Obama outperformed as often as he underperformed the primary polls.

Virginia, for instance, Ras as you call them had Obama up by 18. He won by 28%. All 4 polls were low, averaging +17, more than ten points lower than Obama actually did.