To: SeekAndFind
That’s the frustrating thing. TIPP/IBD is one of the most accurate polls and it seems to track what other polls show — McCain is losing in everyone of them. Oversampling of Democrats.
Our turnout will match theirs and many Democrats will vote for McCain.
McCain is going to win this.
155 posted on
11/02/2008 3:05:23 PM PST by
fortheDeclaration
(O earth, earth, earth, hear the word of the Lord-(Jer.22:29))
To: fortheDeclaration
Oversampling of Democrats.
Here's the thing I don't get. Most 2008 polls assume that there are more registered Democrats than Republicans. Let's assume this is true.... however, most of the samples show registered Dems outnumbering Republicans by at least 6 percentage points.
ON WHAT BASIS DO THEY MAKE THIS ASSUMPTION ? Have anyone of these pollsters given any good explanation ?
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