Of undecided voters in Virginia, the poll reveals 93 percent are white and 75 percent do not live in Northern Virginia.
In other words, they're voting for McCain. McCain wins VA 52-48.
Good news. Rove always said he trusted Mason-Dixon and Survey USA more than anyone because it most accurately represented internal polls.
White, and not in Northern Virginia.....hmmmmmm.
Methinks McCain has a chance.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
We win Virginia. One less state for ‘bama to steal from McCain. We get PA, NC, VA, OH (barring voter fraud), FL, NV and I don’t have a good read on CO. We probably get NH too.
I think we win the Bush states minus NM (and perhaps IA) and possibly add PA.
Looks like we’ll be toasting President-Elect McCain Tuesday night.
I read here on FR that the undecideds in FL were in the same demographic..
This after RAS was on Fox saying that it ain’t so...
Hmm, 48 campaign hours to go...
Looks like John King at CNN and Chuck Todd at NBC might want to out Virginia back into the undecided color instead of Blue on their wishfull thinking maps.
Just got back from the Richmond Palin rally. Had a great time.
Everybody I talked to said that they know very few white voters over 30 voting Obama.
Are there any websites that compare the polling in 2004 with the actual voting results?
I’m curious to see which polls were most accurate in 2004.
Extremely good news for McCain all around.
All the states were referred to as leaning and within the margin of error. This means Obama has spent 3/4 of a BILLION and not closed the deal.
The fact that the undecideds are larger than average and almost all white, means they will break almost exclusively for McCain.
9% in Va and PA, means McCain probably wins both states. If he has NC, VA, PA, and FLA in his pocket the election is over.
I am trying not to get excited, but all the anecdotal evidence is pointing in the right direction, and I am cautously optimitic now.
Racist rednecks are going to steal Virginia from tha brothas. Thank goodness.
I went to the McCain rally in Springfield, VA this morning. Did a highly scientific yard sign poll from the rally to home (maybe 10 minute drive). There were a few more McCain/Palin signs than the other guys. Given that this is Northern VA, that’s not bad at all. A few weeks ago there were far more Obama than McCain/Palin signs. VA’s Republican chickens seem to be coming home to roost.
One lesson I am going to draw from this election: when a poll reports that Candidate X “leads” Candidate Y by 47-45 in some state, I am going to remember that Candidate X isn’t necessarily leading at all. You still have to find out who the remaining undecided voters are and which way you think they are going to break in the end.
We’ll win VA, OH, FL, NV, and PA but lose CO, IA, and NM. 286-252. We’ll also lose the PV.
RutRoh Scooby! :) Obama is screwed!
Ya think?