Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Zogby: O-49.5%, M-43.8%, U-6.7%
Zogby | 11/2/2008 | Zogby

Posted on 11/01/2008 10:05:21 PM PDT by tatown

Today: Obama-49.5%, McCain-43.8%, Undecided-6.7%

Yesterday: Obama-49.1%, McCain-44.1%, Undecided-6.8%


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; mccain; obama; poll; zogby
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-80 ... 101-105 next last
To: WestFlorida
I mean the white male vote. Guess for whom I voted. I'm a white male and Zogby's internals are just messed up.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

41 posted on 11/01/2008 10:18:31 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 36 | View Replies]

To: tatown

I believe these are numbers from Friday night and Saturday.

Republican voters do not poll well on Friday nights and Saturdays in the fall (especially with Halloween thrown in, too), because they’re at high school football games, kids Saturday soccer, etc.

Last minute polls (Sunday & Monday) will be more accurate, both because it’s in the best interest of the polling company to show accuracy in their final figures and because their samples will be more legit because more people are at home on Sundays than earlier in the weekend.

National poll numbers mean nothing. Nothing. All that matters at this point is state-by-state support.


42 posted on 11/01/2008 10:19:00 PM PDT by Jedidah
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: tatown
Zogby said that Obama outpolled McCain today 52-42. Yesterday it was 48-47 McCain. Bogus, crapola, out of the realm of possibility.

Gallup came out today with 52-42. I knew Zogby was going to follow his lead.

I am so ready for tuesday I can barely contain myself. I just know the silent majority is going to roar.

43 posted on 11/01/2008 10:21:21 PM PDT by babydubya1981 (Homeschooling Moms for McCain/Palin 08)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Palin-Jindal 2012

I am sick. You’re right, who the hell knows what he’s doing with the sauce. Snorting it? Drinking it? Putting it in his eye? Whatever. Y’all need to know, he is NOT A PROFESSIONAL POLLSTER. In fact, DJ over at Wizbangblog.com gives one a real understanding of what passes for polling this year. He is spot on with his anaysis, bottom line: We have a chance, McCain can win. The polls are truly bogus. Go check out his blog. Seriously


44 posted on 11/01/2008 10:21:36 PM PDT by SaintDismas (Starting to regret the handle I chose for this forum)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: Jedidah
National poll numbers mean nothing. Nothing. All that matters at this point is state-by-state support.

Exactly, and most states seem to be within the MOE, with alot of voters still undecided (mostly white voters). That bodes well for McCain.

45 posted on 11/01/2008 10:23:32 PM PDT by babydubya1981 (Homeschooling Moms for McCain/Palin 08)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 42 | View Replies]

To: tatown

NASCAR fans? I didn’t realize that this was a key voter demographic.


46 posted on 11/01/2008 10:26:24 PM PDT by kesg
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: daniel885

Zogby’s remark proves he isn’t to be taken seriously.


47 posted on 11/01/2008 10:27:17 PM PDT by clintonh8r ("My friends, we've got them just where we want them." McCain. Or Custer.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: All
Do you really believe that the electoratein the real world will swing from 48-47 McCain to 52-42 Obama in 24 hours? If this does not convince you how insane and unscientific polling is then nothing else will.

I really feel bad for all the people on this forum who are so obsessed with the polls. It is a case study of how some people psychology can be totally enslaved and controlled by the media and their polls. Very sad indeed.

48 posted on 11/01/2008 10:27:50 PM PDT by jveritas
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: jveritas

The reality is that every responsible, reliable poll shows a sufficient Obama win. It will only be by the grace of god if he doesn’t win with 300+ electoral votes.


49 posted on 11/01/2008 10:29:38 PM PDT by cacoethes_resipisco
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 48 | View Replies]

To: Uncledave
for Obama to have gained ground in the tracking poll would mean that Obama had an extraordinary day on Saturday

Depends on the sample size for each day, the +/- is a lot larger for a one-day sub-sample in a 4-day poll. The margin of error is probably close to 5 points for a given day's sub-sample (for each candidate). Because of that larger margin of error, the 1-point McCain and the 10-point Obama leads on consecutive days aren't necessarily that much different. And, as others have noted, issues of who is at home on Fridays and Saturdays matter too.

I'm not going to pretend to be optimistic, I'm not (I've not given up either, I just can't buy that every single poll is rigged). It ain't over, largely because it will depend on how undecideds break for McCain.

This isn't like Dole in '96 where at this point we were just hoping that the people would wake up (knowing deep down they probably wouldn't). But it's also an uphill battle. Let's hope and pray our side makes it to the top.

50 posted on 11/01/2008 10:29:41 PM PDT by Numbers Guy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: tatown
"[McCain leads by] 6 among voters in armed forces households,

Yeah right. look at the many many category breakdowns, Zog must be spending a half hour each with these targets. Who has that kind of time? Not mormal people, not business people, not family people.

51 posted on 11/01/2008 10:33:06 PM PDT by cookcounty ("A ship in harbor is safe, but that's not why the ship is built." ---Governor Sarah Palin)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: jveritas
i agree with you... the silly thing is, every time one of these obviously ridiculous Zogby polls comes out, FReepers say, “that's it, i’m done with Zogby!” and then 24 hours later, here we are—waiting, waiting, waiting—for Zogby’s new numbers... and again, “that's it—i’m done with Zogby!”
52 posted on 11/01/2008 10:34:03 PM PDT by latina4dubya ( self-proclaimed tequila snob)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 48 | View Replies]

To: cacoethes_resipisco
We Vote We Win. Go and vote. Ask your family, friends, neighbors, and colleagues to vote for McCain/Palin.
53 posted on 11/01/2008 10:35:36 PM PDT by jveritas
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 49 | View Replies]

To: Numbers Guy

Also unlike Dole in 1996, we don’t have a “Perot” in the race to siphon off 5-8% of the GOP vote.

Additionally, unlike 1996, this is a red state-blue state country now. These national polls just aren’t very important anymore. It all comes down to the state by state battlegrounds.

The path is there for McCain to score an electoral college win but easily lose the popular vote by 4-5 million.


54 posted on 11/01/2008 10:36:26 PM PDT by SteveAustin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 50 | View Replies]

To: tatown


Take a break from Zogby's Special Sauce and laugh at The Adventures of Baracchio Episode 1 and Episode 2. Or go look at your baseball cards...
55 posted on 11/01/2008 10:37:35 PM PDT by Birdy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SteveAustin

Edited to add that Gallup/MSNBC/CNNSI/Zogby, etc. etc. could all be correct on their national polling with Obama winning say 51-47 over McCain in the popular vote. But again McCain could win squeakers in just enough states to reach 270 EV’s.


56 posted on 11/01/2008 10:38:46 PM PDT by SteveAustin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 54 | View Replies]

To: cacoethes_resipisco

What difference does it make . 300 or 350 or 270. A win is a win.


57 posted on 11/01/2008 10:39:53 PM PDT by fantom
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 49 | View Replies]

To: Uncledave
If Zog had McCain up by 1 in one day sample Friday, for Obama to have gained ground in the tracking poll would mean that Obama had an extraordinary day on Saturday. Doesn’t add up that Friday and Saturday would be so completely different. I’m calling BS

I call BS on all of Zobgy's polls. He claims that after McCain's 49-47 day yesterday (or whatever it was), Obama won today 52-42. Got that? He is saying that in the space of a single day, approximately 8.4 million people who supported McCain yesterday are no longer supporting him today. On the same day, another 6 million Americans who weren't supporting Obama yesterday are supporting him today. And an additional 2.4 million people who supported McCain or Obama yesterday are now undecided today.

Or maybe the decidedly GOP-friendly group of people who took their kids trick or treating last night while Zobgy was doing his poll don't plan to vote on Tuesday.

The other day, Zogby claimed that McCain actually led among Jewish voters. If this claim alone doesn't invalidate his methodology, nothing will. What's next? McCain pulls even with black voters in tomorrow's polling?

Who knows and who cares what a Zogby poll says. They're worthless.

58 posted on 11/01/2008 10:41:37 PM PDT by kesg
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: tatown

Zogby is just terrorizing you guys...it’s in his blood.


59 posted on 11/01/2008 10:41:55 PM PDT by RebelViking
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: fantom

A bare win of 272 or 290 might, just might, induce some humility. A tsunami of 350+ is a disaster that leaves him properly thinking he has a mandate.


60 posted on 11/01/2008 10:45:02 PM PDT by cacoethes_resipisco
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 57 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-80 ... 101-105 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson