Posted on 11/01/2008 6:49:34 PM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
Something is seriously off with the polling. Beyond the typical oversampling that most polls are doing, here is what puzzles me.
WHY IS OBAMA EVEN GETTING HIGH 40s SUPPORT?
1. The youth vote has been the same as 2004. NO bump there
2. I can’t imagine seniors voting for Senor Obama, especially after he floods the doctors with 45 million new health insured
3. The Jewish American vote for Obama HAS to be less than what Kerry got. No matter how radical a Democrat you are, you owe a religious duty to the land God gave to you. These are the same people that purchased Israel bonds. Some (a decent minority) of them will definitely not vote for an avowed anti Israeli
4. Hispanics in my opinion will not go for Obama (as they went for Kerry) as they have seen what Chavista politicians have done to their old countries. Do not underestimate the Hispanics. They may look like they are one issue voters (Immigration). But they are not stupid. They can recognize a dictator when they see one
5. Middle and Upper Middle Class Whites: With Obama OPENLY threatening to raise their taxes, they would have to be insane to vote for him
6. Evangelicals: This one really astounds me. How an evangelical can or would vote for a guy that is FOR Partial Birth Abortion is beyond me
7. Asian Americans. Mostly business people and mostly very economics savvy. Hard to imagine a majority of them voting for a Socialist
8. Married White Women. I can’t imagine a mom who has a 2 year old kid, trusting the future of this country to a man, who ADMIRES the Soviet Union and Cuba.
While I know McCain will win (my prediction is 52-48 PV), I am astounded that this has gotten so close. How Senor Obama came to get 48% of the vote (in my prediction) is beyond me. He should be losing by 20 points not 4.
Where did he get this reservoir of support to take him to the high 40s? What demographic is supporting him besides the ones I listed above?
The World has gone insane or maybe I have.
POLE
You’re a software engineer. What could you possibly know?
You forgot ANY gun owner with ANY intelligence at all, be him D or otherwise.
Any legal Cubans, who know what life could be under Obamao.
Calm down, the only poll that counts is on Nov. 4th
I think McCain will pull it out, Zogby had him a point ahead yesterday.
“The World is Going Insane (or I am)”
Does one exclude the the other?
I disagree on two points.
Hispanics will vote heavily for Obama.
Asians come from collectivist cultures, and while they do well in business and have good work ethics, they are polling heavily in favor for Obama.
And it’s not really Obama. Six years of war and the sudden downturn in the economy, I’m afraid people blame Bush and Obama has been successful in tying McCain to Bush.
Trust me, it’s you. you’re a SoftwareEngineer and we’ve seen your work.
“You’re a software engineer. What could you possibly know?”
Well, I know how to earn a living, I know how to calculate my taxes and I know how to read my Constitution and I know how to vote and how to fire a gun.
I think it is you, newbie.
There are a couple of things aiding Obama.
We have had a Republican President for 8 years and have a bad economy.
Welcome to the world. Hold fast to your beliefs, and keep your eyes open.
I know how you feel.
So do a couple hundred million other Americans. Your subjective observations are of zero value.
I think you’re a jerk.
He’s REALLY big with the dead!
D_Hawk,
I know McCain WILL win. For that there is NO DOUBT. McCain will get atleast 52% PV in my opinion.
My question to other Freepers is why this was so close.
Ronald Reagan beat Mondale nearly 60-40 and Mondale was no where near as far left as Obama.
To the other Freepers who have posted: Thank you for the zingers but I would appreciate a thoughtful analysis as to why Senor Obama got into the high 40s.
Don’t have a meltdown - it’s what rats want to see on this board. All will be well. Have a drink (or a couple) and enjoy the weekend.
Good point.
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