Posted on 10/31/2008 6:30:22 PM PDT by Chet 99
October 31, 2008 04:46 PM EST
Barack Obama and John McCain are evenly matched in the swing states of North Carolina and Missouri, though Obama is strongly outpacing McCain in two of those states’ crucial battleground counties, according to new Politico/InsiderAdvantage polls.
In North Carolina, Obama and McCain were tied with 48 percent of the vote. Only 3 percent of voters in the state remain undecided. In Missouri, McCain led Obama 50 percent to 47 percent, an edge that was within the margin of error.
Voters in North Carolina’s Wake County, however, part of the politically competitive Research Triangle area, chose Obama by a solid 53 percent to 39 percent margin. That represented a considerable improvement over Obama’s showing in Politico’s first survey of Wake, taken October 9, when he led McCain by a margin of 50 percent to 44 percent.
In Missouri’s St. Louis County, which includes the St. Louis suburbs but not the city itself, Obama racked up an imposing 17-point lead – similar to his wide lead in politically competitive Wake County. The Illinois senator took 55 percent of the vote in St. Louis County, compared with 38 percent for McCain.
McCain’s ability to break even against Obama in these two states, despite the Democrat’s strong performance in suburban and urban areas suggests that the Arizona senator is drawing strong support from the less densely populated areas in these states, said InsiderAdvantage pollster Matt Towery.
(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...
never ever believe an effing word Politico says, if they say its tied, McCain is a mile ahead.
God, I just want this to be over. God, I just want this to be over. God, I just want this to be over. God, I just want this to be over. God, I just want this to be over. God, I just want this to be over. God, I just want this to be over. God, I just want this to be over. God, I just want this to be over. God, I just want this to be over. God, I just want this to be over. God, I just want this to be over. God, I just want this to be over. God, I just want this to be over. God, I just want this to be over. ...
M 50 - O 47 is a dead heat. O 50 - M47...Obama leads by 3!
I was sitting at a local restaurant tonight next to a table of three senior citizens. The man looked like he could have been a college prof, the women were well dressed. All they could speak of was voting for THE ONE and having his yard signs. I could barely contain myself and left as soon as I finished eating. We are in northwest Ohio and I cannot believe people are so stupid!!!
Anyway these polls look promising, God help us.
Watch out for states with strong rural populations. They are often under polled. This is where pollsters may end up with serious egg on their face.
p.s. Beware of the polls to come out tomorrow - it is Halloween, and parents are out with their kids when the pollsters call.
You see this is what I don’t get The poll says Dead heat ..McCain 50 Percent and Obama 47 percent in Missouri.. if that was a national poll percentage and Obama was at 50 Percent to McCain’s 47, he would already be declared the Winner.. Why don’t they just claim Missouri for McCain Now.
Poll: Dead heats in 2 key swing states (Missouri: M50, 047;
Then they provide no evidence of it. Pure BS.
We will win CO, MO,VA, NC, OH, FL, TX, NV, MN, TN, MI, GA, SC, AL, AR, LA, AK, OK, KS, KY, WV, AZ..
And the entire central state and central coast of CA
And I believe we will win NM.
Excellent. Please tell me your picks for the Kentucky Derby ;)
That is McCain’s Strategy, stay close in urban areas, run up the rural vote.
Chet 99, I have not seen the IBD poll lately, have you posted it anywhere?
48 to 44. Basically unchanged.
“if they say its tied, McCain is a mile ahead.”
I’m inclined to agree. If they show McCain ahead by 3, it is probably more like 7 to 8. When tied, it means McCain is 4 to 5 ahead.
All the underpolled Hillary She clean his clock in the Rust Belt.
Wich we need too
“outpacing McCain...”
are they in a 5K run or a triathalon? what the hell does “outpacing” even mean?
I agree with you on that one. I hate to say it, but the day after the election the talking heads will start up all over again babbling about the next election. We never get a break from politics any more. One would think that was the only thing that mattered.
Danke’.
ZOG has McPalin up by 1%....I can just hear the antacids being consumed over in Koyz Kid land...
This campaign has been ridiculously long. It started the day after the ‘06 election. Then candidates started announcing in Feb 2007. The first debates were a year and a half ago weren’t they? Unbelievable. That’s one reason I’ve been saying 0bama almost feels like the incumbent. He’s been acting like he’s president for 2 years. Even if I supported him I’d be sick of him by now!
As the once allied French would say, (Moi aussi.)
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.