Posted on 10/31/2008 2:19:10 PM PDT by Palin4President
The polling organization says incumbent Republican Saxby Chambliss leads Democratic nominee Jim Martin 48-43. It also says if Libertarian nominee Allen Buckley’s support remains consistent, a runoff is likely.
Senator Saxby Chambliss leads Democratic challenger Jim Martin by five percentage points in his bid for re-election in Georgia. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the race finds the Republican incumbent with 48% of the vote and Martin with 43%. Libertarian Party candidate Allen Buckley picks ups seven percent (7%) of the vote while two percent (2%) remain undecided.
But, under Georgia law, a candidate must win at least 50% of the vote or face a run-off election in December.
If Buckley’s support stays at current levels, it would be difficult for either Chambliss or Martin to win the majority needed to avoid a run-off. It is also possible, however, that some Buckley supporters may choose instead to vote for one of the major party candidates.
A week ago Chambliss was ahead by just two points, the closest the race has been all year and the highest level of support for Martin, whose campaign has spent roughly half-a-million dollars on attack ads against Chambliss over the past month. Just three weeks ago, Chambliss held a six-point lead.
The trend is our friend.
If it goes to a runoff the American people will be so sick of the mistake “they” made Saxby will win by a landslide.
That’s great news!
Welcome to FR, great screen name too!
CNN/Time also Saxby up by 9 points.
McConnell is hanging tough in Kentucky and Wicker is going to win in Mississippi.
Any hopes the Dems had at getting 60 seats is gone without GA, KY, or MS (two of the three).
Assuming four seats as complete losses (VA, NH, CO, NM) and three others as unlikely (OR, AK, NC), the only other real hope would be Minnesota, where Coleman is in decent shape. If Norm can hang on, that’ll leave the Republicans with 42 seats plus Lieberman.
PUMA in GA gladly voting for McCain and Chambliss! :)
I’m gonna be optimistic and say 44, not including Lieberman. Losses in VA, CO, NM, AK, and either OR or NH, but not both. Dole will squeak across finish line.
Is Sununu really going to lose in NH? I would have thought he might pull it out.
I can’t believe Landrieu has held on as long as she has. Just boggles my mind that she could win a THIRD term. Crazy.
Welcome. Promise me that we will all hear the PUMAs roar on Tuesday night!
I wish I could be more optimistic about Sununu’s chances, but it’s pretty difficult when most polling has him down from 6-10 points.
I think Gordon Smith is the closest to being toast of the three I mentioned (Smith, Dole, Stevens). Dole might hang on if McCain can carry NC by 4-5% margin. Stevens is the real wild card. I wouldn’t be shocked if he somehow pulls it out.
I’m ready to start making calls. I’m calling this one: Chambliss keeps this seat.
I disagreed with Saxby about the bailout, but considering the socialist alternative, I voted for him yesterday.
McCain-Palin ‘08
Don’t get me wrong. 5 points ahead is better that down by 5 points.
But in a state like Georgia, one would think that Chambliss would be further ahead than this.
Anyone out there know why he’s polling so badly?
Three words steve:
Massive Black Vote
Georgia, North Carolina, and to a lesser extent, Virginia are going to be closer than normal because there is going to be 103% Black Turnout and 98% of it is going to Obama. It isn’t enough to take the states, and there will certainly be huge turnout in other demos to counter this huge turnout, but I firmly believe that the huge black vote turnout and higher percentages are worth a solid 2%-3% for him nationally.
You’re right. I hadn’t thought of the down-ballot effect Obamaniac could have.
Throw in the votes of white liberals and yes, that would explain the closeness of the race.
Thank you for the explanation!
If 0bama wins, we're going to have to give those 44 living hell every day to keep them from letting The One run us into a socialist hell.
GOD bless you and thank you. It is my hope that together we can defeat evil and work together where we agree... and I have read enough to know that there is much common ground. Welcome to FR.
LLS
I hope your right. With the Snowes & Shays in our party a 4 seat margin is about as slim as I’m comfortable with.
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