I’m a little gunshy on projecting electoral maps; I scored direct hits in 00 and 04. I got my clock cleaned in the congressional races of 06.
You can build your own map at realclearpolitics, but they have some screwy stuff going on in their template calling MT and ND neutral.
Anyway, giving Mac PA and VA makes for 281 on my chart. I kind of gave CO over to blue and hated to do it.
MO, FL IN and OH are all red on my map.
The difference in O6 was the low turnout by the GOP and even so, we lost many races by a very slim margin.
We will match the Democrat turnout this time and that will give us victory.
“projecting electoral maps; I scored direct hits in 00 and 04. I got my clock cleaned in the congressional races of 06”
I had the exact same experience as you did on this. Luckily this isn’t anything like 2006 or 1996 when Bob Dole was unable to energize the base. It would be great to have PA as a kind of insurance policy in the event CO or VA don’t come around, but it would be surprising to me if McCain got PA and didn’t get VA too. I have a pretty good feeling about McCain’s chances in NH too despite the current polls from there. I’m not sure what to think about CO. It would be great to see some reports from on the ground in Colorado from the freepers living there.