“projecting electoral maps; I scored direct hits in 00 and 04. I got my clock cleaned in the congressional races of 06”
I had the exact same experience as you did on this. Luckily this isn’t anything like 2006 or 1996 when Bob Dole was unable to energize the base. It would be great to have PA as a kind of insurance policy in the event CO or VA don’t come around, but it would be surprising to me if McCain got PA and didn’t get VA too. I have a pretty good feeling about McCain’s chances in NH too despite the current polls from there. I’m not sure what to think about CO. It would be great to see some reports from on the ground in Colorado from the freepers living there.
Beacause I had been dead on in previous elections I was cocky in 06. I read the tea leaves of state polls and simply shaved off 2 or 3 points to hit my targets. In 06 I think I got a little generous.
Hmm, that’s good news about NH. I originally had that as being maverick terrain and was kind of surprised when I saw Sununu slipping and Mac’s numbers going down.
NH has some of the same problems as VT (socialists) and I simply attributed Obie’s success on that. I should think that this would be a good place to remind people of the second ammendment?
Obamabots have been working No VA very hard and I am very concerned about it; registering voters in college towns, etc. Warner is going to beat Gilmore. He is very well liked and may have some reverse coattails.
If CO is close the Catholic swings may come into effect, but I don’t know if they can move the state to red. Bishop Chaput is possibly the strongest voice, maybe next to Burke.
I hope that more Catholics are coming around to Obama’s very radical views of abortion. I think the message is getting out there.
The Bishops have done a pretty good job, I think. “In the pew Cathoics” need to get in our fellow parishioners faces if they are half baked on the issue.