Posted on 10/30/2008 4:58:43 AM PDT by conservativefromGa
He (Chambliss) needs to get 50% or it will go to a run-off. The libertarian has been polling at 2 or 3%. I think he will pull it off.
Chambliss is going to a runoff on Dec 2nd...
He’s really p-d off conservatives in the state who have decided that its time for him to retire... Buckley - the liberatarian - is benefiting from a lot of this dissatisfaction - enough so to keep Saxby under 50%...
The runoff will be interesting should control of the senate hang in the balance... I suspect Saxby will prevail in a runoff when conservatives no longer have 2 choices on the ballot, but just one.
Martin is a complete party-line leftist - he’d be Reid & Obama’s lacky
I have conservative friends in NC that say that there have been changes in NC voter demographics.
There will also be a large black turnout.
I don’t know that such a thing accounts for 8 points, but I am concerned.
That's not entirely true. He would have to hold on to the ones you mentioned and PA only if Obama picked off other states. If he wins OH, FL, IN, MO, and picked up PA, then a VA or CO is not necessary. A switch for PA puts McCain in a good position, because he can then lose a couple red states from 2004. If he picked up the red states from last time, but lost CO, he can still win with a flip of NH or one other smaller state even w/o PA. A PA switch would be huge for McCain and probably puts him in the driver's seat. If PA stays blue, then McCain has to be almost error free and win back every Bush red state.
Harry give it a rest. McCain/Palin WILL WIN PA by a shocking margin and then go on to win the election.
Again, the numbers don’t tell you much without the numbers behind telling you what their “weighting” is.
Yes, continue to pray,
meditate on this verse
2 Chron 7:14
if my people, who are called by my name, will humble themselves and pray and seek my face and turn from their wicked ways, then will I hear from heaven and will forgive their sin and will heal their land.
Quinnipiac polls have been at the bottom of the accuracy list year in year out. A liberal NY college poll that is worthless. You’d get more accurate results from studying dead small animals entrails.
Obama 47%. He has lost PA. “Undecideds” will vote McCain.
What has Rendall been saying that makes you think the dead and bused in folks from NJ will not be voting in Philly? I really think McCain will win PA, but I am worried about the fraud in Philly.
I’m a little gunshy on projecting electoral maps; I scored direct hits in 00 and 04. I got my clock cleaned in the congressional races of 06.
You can build your own map at realclearpolitics, but they have some screwy stuff going on in their template calling MT and ND neutral.
Anyway, giving Mac PA and VA makes for 281 on my chart. I kind of gave CO over to blue and hated to do it.
MO, FL IN and OH are all red on my map.
If you’re inclined I have a friend who also says to fast. Inever been much for fasting unless it was obligatory,...couldn’t hurt.
We can’t give the nation over to the Horde of Molech.
Cool!
My bro-in-law is in Aiken, SC. Bet the temp is nice.
It’s finally winter here.
I’m heating my house with a woodstove and half expect to be taxed for my own trees, which have died of natural causes, if Barry goes to 1600.
PA is PUMA country. BTW if you want to find states that McCain can win, look at the states that Hillary beat Obama in during the primaries. If they didn’t vote for him then, their support will be weak now, too.
Yuck. GA will be awash with lawyers, NARALers and ACLU whores for the Thanksgiving holidays.
I hope the folks that are pulling the libertarian ticket understand that before they vote.
Obama has one rally today in VA, but other than that, they haven’t been there very much in the past few days. McCain is saying his final VA visit is Saturday. But both candidates are all over PA.
Now if McCain loses VA, he is pretty much toast and Obama is your next president. Now don’t you think that if Obama was cruising like these polls are suggesting, he would be pounding the hell out of Virginia for the knockout blow?
The demographics and the voter registrations in Virginia DO NOT support an Obama win there. That is unless a bunch of Republican voters have decided they agree that Obama is a “transformative candidate that will bring peace on earth, hope, change, and a college football playoff system.” I don’t think any intelligent individual outside DC and New York buys that line of s—t.
Obama’s electoral strategy is this, hold PA and try to pick up IA, CO, NM, and NV.
McCain’s electoral strategy is this, pick up PA and NH.
Judging by where the candidates are spending their time, Pennsylvania is really up for grabs and will be the determining state in this election. Obama and Biden are both basically ignoring OH now, and I believe that McCain camp knows that if they win OH by a big margin, it is going to be a long night for Obama in PA.
The difference in O6 was the low turnout by the GOP and even so, we lost many races by a very slim margin.
We will match the Democrat turnout this time and that will give us victory.
Well, I had to wear a t-shirt under my dress shirt today. I never do that, not here with our heat and humidity. But it is cold! OK, so maybe not to you. But it almost went down to freezing last night. Afternoon forecast. Sunny and 65.
Well, maybe I’m missing something, if I give Mac PA and Obie Va my map breaks O=270 and MC=268.
PA and VA would be very nice.
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