Posted on 10/27/2008 7:51:55 PM PDT by flattorney
Marked - hope you’re right.
I'm with ya, Sister! Only about a week to go, though...
What does the most recent Mason Dixon poll say?
How many people did Palin draw in her Florida visits?
Me too! :)
Someone here on FR posted a pic of Obama at a stadium in Tampa that held 11,000. It looked like he had 2,000 people. This was 2 or 3 weeks ago.
Bush packed the place in 2004. Another FR member posted a picture of the Bush rally.
Most recent Mason Dixon is Mac +1
Then Mac wins by +3
Mason Dixon gives McCain a one point advantage, but their last poll was on the 21st, so they’ll probably put another one out this week, maybe he’s lost ground.
The paper said the Tampa Convention Center crowd was “more than 5000”, but my husband and son were there and they said the place was packed out, standing room only, and they’d estimate 10,000.
In Kissimmee, she filled the venue and I think they said 7,000 in attendance. Then she was in Asheville the same night. A friend went to that, she filled the venue which held about 8,000 and my friend said there were more people outside than inside the venue.
Sarah pulled big crowds in Clearwater, The Villages (north of Orlando), Kissemmee, Tampa.
Obama pulled a joke crowd in Tampa, pulled supposedly 10,000 in downtown Miami at rush hour before a Heat game a few blocks from the arena. I never saw the pics so I bet he pulled a lot less. He probably gave away tickets to the game because the Heat stink.
I am not sure how many Obama pulled in Orlando but he may have had a concert or something like his usually scam rallies with opening acts.
Obama will have fall off versus Kerry from Jewish voters, blue Dog Dems and Hillary PUMAs. Remember Hillary stomped Obama in the primary.
50% Hill, 32% Obama and 14% Edwards. This means 68% of Democrats voted against Obama inthe FL primary.
In addition and IMPORTANT NOTE:
Republican total votes versus Dem were 200,000 more Repub. If the Blue Dog Dems drop off for Obama along with some Jewish votes and the Dems had 200,000 few votes in the primary then Obama has problems. Note the Dems knew going into primary that their votes might not be counted so it depressed the turnout a bit.
There was no Op Chaos because Repubs had not decided the race yet. McCain beating Mitt in FL pretty much decided the race.
Florida I think comes down to two things:
1. Repubs will hold their base but how many Dems will vote against Obama. My guess is MANY Hill Dems are still angry in FL - more so than in other states. Jewish voters have problems with Obama.
2. Obama will lie about MediScare.
The PUMAs are saying that all but a few polling outfits have Obama people working in them. RCP is one they named with Obama people.
This goes back to NH where the pollsters had Obama winning big and Hillary won NH. Then it happened in other states where Obama underperformed his poll numbers.
Political media is infiltrated by Democrats. Who could have guessed?
Um, OK, but I live in Oregon, and I’ve already sent in my vote.
What is your point?
Lot of Dan Rathers in the media today! May not be the truth but what the heck it sounds good.
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