Posted on 10/27/2008 4:00:29 AM PDT by DocT111
As Election Day draws near, people are wondering if the presidential race will tighten. Will the undecideds swing to McCain, or will Obama continue to maintain his 4 to 11 point lead?
Some point to a "Bradley effect" suggesting that voters are hiding their true feelings from pollsters because of Obama's race, while others say the Bradley effect either never existed or no longer exists. People who think there is a Bradley effect believe that the substantial majority of undecideds are likely to vote for McCain, enabling him to close some of the gap.
McCain should win a larger share of undecided voters than Obama, but it has little to do with race.
With Obama outspending McCain by upwards of 4 to 1, getting enormous traction with newspaper editorial boards, generating the enthusiasm to bring out crowds measured in the tens of thousands, and with Palin treated as more of a punch line than a candidate by the press--it seems likely that if voters are not ready to tell a pollster that they are with Obama, they are unlikely to get there.
But the phenomenon of undecided voters' breaking for McCain need not be called the "Bradley effect." Call it the "Bloomberg effect"--where after $100 million of spending, his mayoral challenger was able to capture essentially all of the 10 point undecided vote. Or call it the "Clinton effect"--where almost all the undecided vote swung away from the popular incumbent and went to Bob Dole. Or call it the "Reagan effect"--where even during the Republican 1980 primaries, voters were apparently reluctant to say they were going to vote for the "elderly washed up actor" and he got the preponderance of the undecided vote.
(Excerpt) Read more at weeklystandard.com ...
Dan Rather
Please send to local media
newsbusters.org/blogs/mark-finkelstein/2008/10/21/guess-who-sees-msm-double-standard-bidens-latest-gaffe
How about the undecided get in the voting booth and decide they can’t stand that name.
How about the redistribution of poverty effect?
Regarding that graphic, God please help us.
As Obama's lead has grown, so has the probability of his election,,,,and the markets are speaking LOUDLY AND CLEARLY.
The closer we get to the election, and the higher Obama's lead in the polls--
THE MORE THE MARKET DROPS!!!
Has the word “REPARATIONS” come up at anytime during this campaign?
BO’s “spread the wealth” and the newly discovered tape (now up on Drudge) should be flashing lights pointing to reparations.
Now, if only the MSM would cover it....nah.
Somebody’s gotta be outa their rabbit axxed mind to vote for this jerk/commie,,,,,0
Im hoping the “Blind Faith” that Obamabots have scares the undecided to go McCAin. This crazy obsession with a human being is frightening to say the least.
If McCain were outspending Obama 4 to 1, not only would Obama's fans be boo-hooing about "buying an election," but McCain would be 20 points up.
Yet, while Obama may win, it sure doesn't look like it's gonna be by a huge number.
If they spent the same amount, I still think McCain would be up.
When a person is asked for whom he intends to vote and he answers “I’m undecided,” this reply probably means “None of your frigging business.” Many Americans are now intimidated by the aggressive tactics being used by the left, and just don’t want to reveal their voting intentions and for good reason. Democrats are now insinuating that anyone who votes for McCain must be a racist, and as we approach November 4, I wouldn’t be a bit surprised if the Democrats openly accuse those who vote for McCain to be guilty of a “Hate Crime.”
Sometimes I think I am having a nightmare and cannot wake up or that I have somehow slipped into an alternate universe. Or it could just be that 40 years of infiltration and domination of mass media, Hollywood and our educational system by the radical left has produced generations willing to accept collectivism with open arms. God help us.
The Bradley Effect no longer exists, in my opinion.
But I DO believe many Democrats, when a pollster calls, are afraid to admit they are “disloyal” to the almighty Democrat Party and support McCain.
After all, who REALLY knows the identity of the pollster at the other end of the phone line. It could just be a Democrat shill outfit who would then put that “disloyal” Democrat on the black list, so to speak.
It has nothing to do with race, but it DOES have something to do with LOYALTY.
The Friends showed it this morning...I was screaming.
Or that incredibly drippy kids' 0bama song filmed in Venice, CA.
True,but it is rabid ass mind.
With Obama outspending McCain by upwards of 4 to 1
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I wonder if this will have an effect, the Hussein Burnout Effect. With him advertising left and right, could people be getting tired of it?
They could also vote against him as a revolt. In addition to all the other things against Hussein, the perception that he is buying the election could be a big turn off.
“In addition to all the other things against Hussein, the perception that he is buying the election could be a big turn off.”
It sure is great how the press is pointing out how NObama is buying the election, isn’t it?
Even if McCain wins, there’s a WHOLE lot of work to do!
McCain/Palin ‘08!
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