It ain't over till it's over have faith!
Posted on 10/23/2008 3:14:50 PM PDT by Chet 99
Thursday, October 23, 2008 - 2:40 PM MST
Battleground polls: Obama 47%, McCain 46%
Phoenix Business Journal - by Mike Sunnucks
A Thursday poll puts the presidential vote at 48 percent for Barack Obama and running mate Joe Biden versus 45 percent for Arizona Sen. John McCain and running mate Sarah Palin. Four percent are undecided in the new poll conducted by George Washington University, Tarrance Group and Lake Partners.
But the poll also shows that in toss-up states, the Obama-Biden ticket has 47 percent compared with 46 percent for McCain-Palin with 5 percent undecided. States such as Florida, Virginia, Pennsylvania, Nevada and Ohio could tilt the election.
The poll of 1,000 voters shows the race closer than other polls. The current average of recent polls by Real Clear Politics gives Obama a 7-point lead.
The GWU poll shows McCain leading among whites (51 percent to 42 percent) and Hispanics (48 percent to 44 percent). Other surveys have given Obama a lead among Hispanics, who could be key in states such as Florida and Colorado. President Bush got 40 percent of the Latino vote in 2004.
Obama holds leads in the GWU poll with younger voters (59 percent to 32 percent) as well as with voters who are black, live in big cities and are not married.
The poll shows the rural vote fairly even.
The survey also paints Palin as the most polarizing of the presidential and vice presidential candidates. She is liked by 51 percent of those questioned and disliked by 42 percent. Palin is most popular with older voters, Hispanic and white men, and least popular with city dwellers, younger voters, African-Americans and those in the Northeast.
It is quite evident the Obama campaign is putting out the word they are going to win by a landslide in order to suppress the McCain vote by making people think the game is over. A campaign that is truly winning usually talks about how close it is in order to keep their voters from becoming complacent. The MSM is participating in this fraud willingly.
did anyone notice the last sentence? Palin is viewed nost favorably by seniors and Hispanics...
seniors vote in disproportionate numbers. Hispanics are a key undecided bloc. All the groups that dislike Palin - McCain wasn’t gonna get those votes anyway.
So as not to waste time I’ll project this incisive debate we’re having several lines further:
CautiouslyHopeful: Yes, it is worded hypothetically.
Petronski: No, it’s not.
CH: Yes, it is.
Pet: No, it’s not.
CH: Yes, it is.
Pet: No, it’s not.
CH: Yes, it is!
Pet: No, it’s not!
CH: I’m not going to argue semantics with you anymore.
Pet: I’ll insist till my dying day that you think that John McCain secretly admires Chairman Mao. It’s not true! McCain hasn’t been NEARLY as anti-free speech as Mao was!
CH: Okay, whatever. What would McCain have to do for you to vote against him?
Pet: ...
This article is reporting on the cross tabs of the Battleground poll. Just so you know, the party ID in those cross tabs was 42 D 37 R 21 I, and McCain was -1 in the Battleground states with that party ID.
I am convinced tonight that if this race remains static, and republicans turn out to vote, we will win.
Karl Rove says Obama still hasn’t closed with undecideds, and I don’t know how he can close with them. Folks that don’t trust him don’t trust him. There is no record to point to that will get folks over that hump.
Additionally, Gallup’s Likely Voter Models are counting on a 60% voter turnout. That hasn’t happened since 1968. 2004 had “massive” turnout and only reached 55.2%. All high turnout models will skew to the democrats.
This is my view from Norway.
You Notice McCain Never gets ahead in any of these polls ,he gets to within a point ,then the next day it is 4 ,then 8,but never ahead ,.This is all just a hoax ,he will never crack into the lead
He needs the popular vote in case he wins.
LLS
There's no way to avoid the riots. If McCain wins, with or without the Popular Vote, his supporters will riot while screaming for revolution. If the Liberal Messiah wins, they will riot in celebration.
Thanks! That is AWESOME NEWS! GOTV is right!
Where is he going? Left this morning and not expected to arrive for another 7 hours? Maybe he is taking a blimp! :)
I don't know, Detroit hasn't had a good house cleaning in 40 years...
Republican establishment chose McCain? Are you serious? If the establishment had their way it would have been Romney not McCain. Bush/Cheney pushed Romney the whole time including as VP and you say the establishment wanted McCain? No way, no how.
ha ha, putting a conservative on the ticket.
it is strictly a case of McWhatshisname an Palin like most here.
perhaps the third party lemmings should focus their energies on creating a caucus INSIDE the party structure from within.
but that would make sense and not help obama.
problem: they’d clean out our houses
AWESOME! Great summary there.
The more interesting point is that Obama is usually just below 50% in the poll of polls. Once or twice he cracks 50% by a little, but settles down at 49%. 45% apparently view him as unqualified. Not less qualified, but unqualified. That makes me think that Obama and McCain are really neck and neck, and it will come down to the last weekend.
No evidence whatsoever that Conservative/Republicans riot, never. LOL
Off to Hawaii to get birth documents falsified I mean to see his ailing white grandmother as he calls her!
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