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Survey USA (Pennsylvania) Race Tightens, Obama Still Leads 53%-41%
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=e72fd556-4693-4af0-ac74-e2b4d2c8ea27 ^

Posted on 10/23/2008 12:20:55 PM PDT by MittFan08

In an election for President of the United States in Pennsylvania today, 10/23/08, twelve days until votes are counted, the contest tightens, but Democrat Barack Obama still defeats Republican John McCain 53% to 41%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WCAU-TV Philadelphia, KDKA-TV Pittsburgh, WNEP-TV Scranton, WHTM-TV Harrisburg, and WJAC-TV Johnstown. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll 9 days ago, McCain is up 1, Obama is down 2. There is movement to McCain among white voters, where McCain had been down 7, today is down 3.

(Excerpt) Read more at surveyusa.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2008; 2008polls; mccain; obama; pa2008; palin
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Some movement towards McCain, but not as much as needed. This poll sampled 52% Democrats and 41% Republicans, but there are 1.2 million more Democrats than Republicans in PA, according to philly.com:

http://www.philly.com/philly/hp/news_update/20081017_Pa__Democrats_now_outnumber_GOP_by_almost_1_2_million.html

Which makes me wonder if it wouldn't be smarter for McCain to camp out and spend his ad money in Virginia and Colorado than in Pennsylvania. He doesn't have to win PA if he can hold serve in Colorado and Virginia, which are traditionally Republican states. PA hasn't voted Republican in 20 years, and I kind of doubt they will do so in a year that has seen a huge increase in Democratic registrations.

1 posted on 10/23/2008 12:20:55 PM PDT by MittFan08
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To: All

Bogus.

Otherwise, why does Obama needs to spend any more time in a state that he has won?


2 posted on 10/23/2008 12:22:38 PM PDT by Madeleine Ward (.)
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To: MittFan08

This survey USA, please!!


3 posted on 10/23/2008 12:22:45 PM PDT by Perdogg (Raila Amollo Odinga - community organizer)
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To: MittFan08

The race is not exactly tightening in this poll. Why the headline? Looks like a landslide unless the sampling is completely warped.


4 posted on 10/23/2008 12:23:22 PM PDT by Goreknowshowtocheat
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To: MittFan08; Cedric; Chet 99; Frantzie; GOP_Lady; HamiltonJay; impeachedrapist; IndependentWahoo; ...

Pole sample (+9 Dem)

Dem 52 (+11)
GOP 41 (+2)
Ind 06

CNN 2004 PA
Dem 41
GOP 39
Ind 20


5 posted on 10/23/2008 12:25:25 PM PDT by Perdogg (Raila Amollo Odinga - community organizer)
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To: Goreknowshowtocheat

SUSA must quit calling the High School kids with cell phones too young to vote... LOL


6 posted on 10/23/2008 12:25:43 PM PDT by BigEdLB (Let's get serious - there is only one choice - McCain/Palin 2008)
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To: Perdogg

Is Survey USA biased? None of the other PA polls on RCP look any better, including Rasmussen and Strategic Vision, a Republican pollster.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/pa/pennsylvania_mccain_vs_obama-244.html#polls


7 posted on 10/23/2008 12:26:44 PM PDT by MittFan08
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To: MittFan08
I totally believe a Philly paper. heck I should get all my Bush news from The Tehran Times. Philly is a toilet and is racing Detroit down to America's first Kabul.
8 posted on 10/23/2008 12:27:12 PM PDT by pburgh01
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To: Madeleine Ward

It’s Bull.

This poll shows Obama has a 12 point lead among men. I don’t think so, unless these guys only polled in Philly.


9 posted on 10/23/2008 12:27:24 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: MittFan08

I’m calling bullcrap on philly.com. According to CNN, the PA Dem/GOP/Ind breakdown for Bush vs Kerry in 2004 was 41/39/20.

I can’t see how this will change dramatically. Obama’s turnout gains among black Dems will be offset by blue collar crossovers.


10 posted on 10/23/2008 12:27:30 PM PDT by bailmeout ("During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act" - G Orwell)
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To: MittFan08

Why don’t you quit your job and become a campaign strategist?


11 posted on 10/23/2008 12:27:44 PM PDT by Perdogg (Raila Amollo Odinga - community organizer)
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To: Goreknowshowtocheat

“The race is not exactly tightening in this poll. Why the headline?”

Obama lost two, McCain gained one. That’s what the story talked about.


12 posted on 10/23/2008 12:28:30 PM PDT by MittFan08
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To: MittFan08
Too much ground to make up in too little time, if this is accurate. McCain can't break out of the low 40s. That isn't going to get it done.

Time to pour everything into holding CO and VA and maybe NC, and forget about flipping blue states. It's a noble goal, but it isn't going to happen in the time we have left.

13 posted on 10/23/2008 12:28:45 PM PDT by chimera
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To: Madeleine Ward

Why did Rendell ask Obama to come back ?


14 posted on 10/23/2008 12:28:53 PM PDT by stylin19a ( Real Men don't declare unplayable lies)
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To: MittFan08
SurveyUSA is the bunch who called me a couple of days ago.

Naturally, being afraid their machine might tell some human I was racist, I told them I was an independent and intended to vote for Barry.

15 posted on 10/23/2008 12:29:24 PM PDT by Zakeet (Crime wouldn't pay if the government ran it)
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To: Perdogg

“Why don’t you quit your job and become a campaign strategist?”

Why don’t I just turn off my brain and show blind faith in the guy that brought us McCain-Feingold, Kennedy-McCain, gang of 14, etc? Because John McCain has shown the ability to make wrong decisions in the past, and I think emphasizing Pennsylvania while reducing his ad buys in Colorado, which has always voted Republican and is a 5-point contest according to even biased polls, is a mistake.


16 posted on 10/23/2008 12:31:32 PM PDT by MittFan08
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To: Zakeet

For real?


17 posted on 10/23/2008 12:32:34 PM PDT by Kay
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To: Zakeet

Michelle Malkin Got leaked a Poll that Has Murtha down 48 to 35

http://michellemalkin.com/2008/10/23/breaking-new-poll-shows-russell-over-murtha-48-35/


18 posted on 10/23/2008 12:33:09 PM PDT by PaRep (Mutha Down 48 to 35 in poll)
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To: Zakeet
Naturally, being afraid their machine might tell some human I was racist, I told them I was an independent and intended to vote for Barry.

All conservatives should do this whenever the opportunity is presented.

19 posted on 10/23/2008 12:33:13 PM PDT by Petronski (Please pray for the success of McCain and Palin. Every day, whenever you pray.)
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To: Zakeet
chimera and Mitt are trying to win the Debbie Downer award for today. They are both usual contenders for this daily prize.. i think they are what the PUMAs called ..

Oh no, all is lost

20 posted on 10/23/2008 12:33:37 PM PDT by pburgh01
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