Posted on 10/22/2008 3:10:19 PM PDT by tatown
O-52%, M-41%, Other/Undecided-7%
(Excerpt) Read more at wispolitics.com ...
ROFL. Let’s hope they stay overconfident. How many college students and crackheads have enough motivation to even figure out how to vote?
It is a very close race. Everyone...repeat after me...TURNOUT!
When they oversample democrats, is it because they call and it just turns out there are 8% more democrats?
With the amount of O signs around my neighborhood just outside of Milwaukee I was wondering if maybe things were going the other way here, but this poll restores some faith.
I think the Joe the Plumber moment resonates here...
I need to change my forum name ;)
The Dems are oversampled because the pollsters must ask them the questions V-E-R-Y S-L-O-W-L-Y. The pollsters don’t have time to get to the Pubbies.
w/ 8% more dems sampled, zero gets 93% of dems, mac gets 98% of repubs.
we turn out, we win.
plus indies break our way.
plus bradley.
plus gaffes to come...
plus palin.
...
macpal wins this thing yall..
I am hoping that McCain can just carry enough Bush states to carry him to Victory. PA would be a nice add on but these upper mid west states look like a lost cause.
Research2000 is the Daily Kos pollster
SAMPLE FIGURES:
Men 283 (47.16%)
Women 317 (52.833%)
Democrats 226 (37.666%)
Republicans 189 (31.5%)
Independents/Other 185 (30.8%)
Yep and they squeezed this one for all they could muster. The race in WI is much closer than what these guys suggest.
The pollsters poll Democrats to see how many are going to vote. Lets say 70 percent of Democrats say they are going to vote. They take 70 percent of all the Registered Democrats and that number is what they use to weight Democrat turn out.
They do the same with Republicans and Independents. When they have all 3 turn out numbers they add them together and
that gives them the total number of voters. They calculate the percentage the total vote that Democrats that will be voting. And with ACORN registering lots of FAKE NAMES as DEMOCRATS they count the turn out as being a lot more Democratic than Republican.
That is the purpose of the fake registrations by ACORN to fool the public into thinking Obama is a certain winner. They think that discourages Republicans from voting and causes independents to go with what the polls say are the winners. But independents are not falling for it. But perhaps Conservatives and some Republicans are.
But it only works if Republicans and Conservatives sit on their butts and don’t vote. Which will only prove that Conservatives can be fooled by Democrats and the Media.
The Media is convinced that Conservatives can be easily fooled .. Don’t let them prove that is is true.
2004 WI Exit Polls:
Male-47%
Female-53%
Dems-35%
Reps-38%
Ind-27%
Well look at it. It’s Research 2000.
Brookfield?
LS kind of doubts it, but I believe we get WI this year. And for one reason, Sarah Palin. Northern sensibility resonates with these voters.
Funny, the signs in my neighborhood just outside of Milw are ALL McCain. I rarely see political signs around here, but they're out in droves this year.
OBAMA MCCAIN OTHER UNDECIDED
ALL....... 52%......... 41%... 4%... 3%
MEN...... 47%......... 46%... 5%... 2%
WOMEN.. 57%......... 36%... 3%... 4%
DEMOCRATS 86%.... 7%... 3%... 4%
REPUBLICANS 11%. 82%.. 4%... 3%
INDEPENDENTS 54%.. 39%. 5%... 2%
It is interesting that McCain is making a move on Iowa this weekend — and no plans to my knowledge for Minnesota or Wisconsin.
AP poll admits the truth as many of us have been saying for weeks(44-43),if odumbo is not up by 10 he loses
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