Posted on 10/22/2008 9:43:48 AM PDT by Ravi
with the weighted Democrats 278 (44%) Republicans 235 (38%) Independents 112 (18%)
In the key Tampa Bay region, McCain now has a 47%-44% lead, reversing Obama’s 48%-44% advantage from early October. The other regions of the state continue to follow their historical patterns, with Obama holding a wide 58%-32% lead in Southeast Florida and McCain running ahead in North Florida (56%-35%), Central Florida (53%-39%) and Southwest Florida (54%-38%).
As I sat watching some TV with some young Obama voters (undecideds who lean heavily for Obama, but who might not even vote), they were turned off by all the adds. Could this be a backlash of sorts?
Lanslide like Reagan when he had Reagan down at this point in the election .
New Hampshire he had Obama 42 Clinton 29 day of the vote.
Democrats 278 (44%) Republicans 235 (38%) Independents 112 (18%)
44% (D), 38% (R); Preference among White voters O (38%), M (53%).
This tells me Mac wins easily. McCain leads in all areas except SE Florida (Ft. Lauderdale, Palm Beach, etc.)
Latest poll in Florida sample weight (+ 10 dem)
Dem 44
GOP 38
ind 18
Election 2004
GOP 41
DEM 37
Ind 23
Democrats 278 (44%) Republicans 235 (38%) Independents 112 (18%)
I think so. Let him spend his 600 million or whatever it is and still beat him. That would be awesome.
I have been saying this for a while. McCain will win and win big if he continues to attack and finish strong the next few days up until the election.
The media has been so in the tank for Obama this time around because he needs a perfect trifecta (white Dem vote, conservatives staying home and vote fraud). He has one of the three lined up right now (vote fraud) and the media is trying to get McCain to soften his message to diminish conservative turnout. They are also trying to dampen conservative spirits with bogus poll numbers and saying this election is over. They don’t want us to show up.
Palin was the spark for the McCain campaign and now the attacks on Obama’s character are taking their toll. I hope the McCain campaign continues to attack and not retreat.
You’ve got that right. I live in Ormond Beach and I cannot watch anything without seeing Obama ads. The Sunday Night NFL game was LOADED with Obama ads.
Woo Hoo! I will do my phone banking with renewed gusto here in Ft Lauderdale. It will be so nice to give this good news to the elderly McPalin supporters who are disheartened by what they hear from MSM!
Karl Rove said he always watched Battleground for national trends and Mason Dixon for State trends. Probably good advice.
Obviously Bambi’s not that far ahead.
Pass the word along. Money does not lead to victory.
Interesting. If 0bama is up 11 in BG states then that pretty much matches Kerry’s surplus of 10 in those states 4 years ago at this time. I guess that is good news in an odd way. I remain confident but nervous in any case.
Excellent.
That graph is ‘reality settlin in’.
That’s surprising to hear. I’m in Ohio and both candidates are advertising heavily my market (Cincinnati). I’d probably say Obama has more ads overall, but the breakdown is somewhere around 55-45%. McCain is all over the evening news commercial breaks every night and he’s even matching Obama’s ads on ESPN and college football games. Obama is spending money in weird places. In particular, he’s run ads on Oxygen, BET, and the Weather Channel. It seems that Bush had more ads than either of the candidates this year, IMO.
If money meant victory then we would still have Sens Santorum, Talent, Allen, and Dewine. It is remarkable that zer0 has spent countless millions in FL and still is behind. That it is even close is a small miracle. As I recall, Kerry outspent Bush in FL last time also. Look what that got him.
I am with you. I was taught to type this sentence when I was first learning to type:
Now is the time for all good men to come to the aid of their country.
I say HELL YEAH! We can’t allow the communists to take over our country.
I suspect low turnout actually—lots of moderate dems “sitting this one out.”
Two examples from my life: my MIL and my best friend, who always vote Dem, don’t like Obama or McCain and are planning to vote for neither.
Too bad they are both in CA and not in a swing state.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.