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Zogby Battleground State Polling
Zogby International ^

Posted on 10/21/2008 4:16:16 PM PDT by zaker99

Zogby just released new state polling. Yes, they are online interactive surveys, but their reliability can't be any worse than some of the traditional phone polls that we've seen. Also, the closeness of so many of the states contradicts the 8 point national lead for Obama that Zogby released today.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: specialsauce; zogby; zogbyspecialsauce
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1 posted on 10/21/2008 4:16:16 PM PDT by zaker99
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To: zaker99

If it stays this way the day before election then it is over. McCain by a landslide...


2 posted on 10/21/2008 4:19:19 PM PDT by Tamatoa (Positive attitude makes the world turn)
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To: zaker99

All of these polls are suspect. And you miss out on plenty of working folk when you call land lines. Who’s willing to take a call from a complete stranger and talk about the election? My wife and I have a landline we seldom use. We do use caller ID to screen.

Sorry, but my guess is that working taxpayers are not getting polled as much. That is the group of people for whom Obama’s spread the wealth will piss off the most. And that’s why Democrats win polls, and Republicans win elections.


3 posted on 10/21/2008 4:21:57 PM PDT by Harry Wurzbach (Joe The Plumber & Rep. Thaddeus McCotter are my heroes.)
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To: zaker99

MUCH BETTA:

http://wizbangblog.com/content/2008/10/21/battleground-poll-dead-heat.php


4 posted on 10/21/2008 4:21:58 PM PDT by SaintDismas (Starting to regret the handle I chose for this forum)
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To: Tamatoa

In case I have not said it recently, McCain/Palin wins Ohio. Guaranteed.


5 posted on 10/21/2008 4:22:20 PM PDT by PackerBoy (Just my opinion ....)
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To: Tamatoa
Why is it that every time I read posts that say McCain LANDSLIDE I think troll?!! Please get real!! This is a fight to the finish...Unfortunately McPal is barely on the 5 yard line and the EMPEROR is on the goal line....LANDSLIDE? NONSENSE!! We must DRAG everyone we know to the polls on the 4th!! ABSOLUTELY EVERYONE...even the dog and cat if we must..:)!
6 posted on 10/21/2008 4:24:17 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: zaker99
The popular vote and the Electoral vote certainly need no “follow” each other.Osama will win many states by a wide margin.For example,I'll wager the clothes on my back that he'll win my state,The Gay State,by 66% to 33%.And he'll win others by a similar margin.McCain,OTH,needs only to win a number of states by 1 vote each.
7 posted on 10/21/2008 4:25:16 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Obama:"Ich bin ein beginner")
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To: PackerBoy

He has McCain with a 7 point lead in Nevada, and that stays in the “tossup” category? LOL.


8 posted on 10/21/2008 4:27:18 PM PDT by mrs9x
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To: RoseofTexas
We must DRAG everyone we know to the polls on the 4th!! ABSOLUTELY EVERYONE...even the dog and cat if we must..:)!

ACORN just registered the dog and cat, but I'll bring all the human beings I can.

9 posted on 10/21/2008 4:28:37 PM PDT by rhema ("Break the conventions; keep the commandments." -- G. K. Chesterton)
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To: RoseofTexas

Like I said if it stays this way before election day. I am not saying tomorrow.... I have seen many elections and voted in many, Democrats always lead in the polls but Republican always win the elections except Bill because of Perot..


10 posted on 10/21/2008 4:28:46 PM PDT by Tamatoa (Positive attitude makes the world turn)
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To: mrs9x
WOW! If McPal win Nev, which I thought it looked bleak for them a while back, he'll do good on the MUST win states!! THANK YOU JESUS in advance for your loving kindness toward us!
11 posted on 10/21/2008 4:29:39 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: mrs9x

and Virginia is a blue state even though his polling shows hussien up by 3.6pts...


12 posted on 10/21/2008 4:32:31 PM PDT by God luvs America (When the silent majority speaks the earth trembles!)
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To: Gay State Conservative

I understand what you’re saying. I just think that if the lead was really 8 points, most of these states would not be within the margin of error.


13 posted on 10/21/2008 4:32:39 PM PDT by zaker99
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To: mrs9x

When McCain wins, the national media/polling organizations/ journalism industry will be forced to adapt an entirely new model from which to operate for the next federal election. They have erroneously oversampled Dems because they have been hoodwinked into thinking that those registrations are authentically based on preference for the party; they rely on land lines to do their polling, which again oversamples Democrats who stay home and either are elderly or on welfare; and last but not least, they over-value “national” polls as barometers. At this stage in the campaign, it is all about the states’ individually—not a stupid national poll. That’s my theory.


14 posted on 10/21/2008 4:33:30 PM PDT by Galtoid ( .)
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To: zaker99
all these polls will change to a plus 8 everywhere for Obama when he goes\comes back from visiting granny.

they will again change to plus 15 for obama when he has his “Billy Graham” TV moment on 10/29/08

15 posted on 10/21/2008 4:35:02 PM PDT by stylin19a ( Real Men don't declare unplayable lies)
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To: Harry Wurzbach

The stock market crashed. Everyday Bush, Bernanke and Paulson come out and yell FIRE IN THE THEATRE!! Battleground comes out this morning and it’s a one point race. “FIRE IN THE THEATRE”, all of a sudden comes the MSM polls!!! I tell you there is something rotten in Peoria. If the american people can’t get fired up with all the bull____ being fed them by those who would relegage us to a third world country, we deserve what we get. GET FIRED UP, GET FIRED UP, Call your friends, ride your horse and warn the people, THE WORLD IS COMING, THE WORLD IS COMING, RISE UP AND FIGHT!!!!!!!


16 posted on 10/21/2008 4:35:59 PM PDT by Murp
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To: zaker99

just once, I’d like to see a completely unweighted poll (a la Nov. 4). Of course, having the Democrats in charge of everything means it will be difficult, but...


17 posted on 10/21/2008 4:36:55 PM PDT by redhead (Alaska: Step out of the bus, and into the food chain.)
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To: RoseofTexas

McCain needs to rehash the “Celebrity” commercial.

Back in the pre-Palin days, the campaign was almost dead until McCain ran the celeb commerical. This changed things.

Rework the ad into the “Cult of OBama” maybe with clips of people saying they don’t know why they support him or something like that. Then cut to McCain, I have the experience and am tested or something like that. Unleash that ad towards the end of next week (so the Obama Hawaii trip will be off the front pages and it won’t seem “mean spirited” to the public.

The bandwagon effect is alive and well with Obama, point it out and make people re-think about it just like the celeb ad and the election is McCain’s.


18 posted on 10/21/2008 4:40:28 PM PDT by tj21807
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To: zaker99
And now, for something completely different,

Al Franken totally looks like Dr. Susan Love

Al Frankin, SNL, Dr. Susan Love

19 posted on 10/21/2008 4:43:34 PM PDT by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus (Here they come boys! As thick as grass, and as black as thunder!)
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To: Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus

gees, they look like identical twins.....yeoooouuuuww.


20 posted on 10/21/2008 4:45:31 PM PDT by tioga
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