Posted on 10/20/2008 3:12:43 PM PDT by Chet 99
More good news!
10.17.08 Video: McCain-Palin Ad - "Red State Rampage" Rallies
Florida FOX News/Rasmussen Polls
10/19 - 10/19 McCain +1
10/12 - 10/12 Obama +5
10/05 - 10/05 Obama +7
09/28 - 09/28 Tie
09/21 - 09/21 McCain +5
09/14 - 09/14 McCain +5
09/07 - 09/07 Tie
TAB
I believe McPalin will win handily. Here are the reasons I have collected visiting FR way too much.
1) “Polls” that show Obama ahead tell a different story when internals are studied. Please see http://hillbuzz.wordpress.com/2008/10/14/an-eeyore-free-zone for a primer on how polls are cooked. UPDATE: Rasmussen saying McCain ahead in Florida and Ohio.
And now, a brief history lesson of ACTUAL ELECTION RESULTS:
1980: Reagan 50.75%, Carter 41%, (+9.75 Reagan) Reagan won 45 states.
1984: Regan 58.77%, Mondale 40.56% (+18.21 Regan) Reagan won 49 states.
1988: Bush 53.37%, Dukakis 45.65% (+7.72 Bush) Bush won 42 states.
1992: Clinton 43.01%, Bush 37.45%, Perot 18.91% (+5.66% Clinton) Clinton won 30 states.
1996: Clinton 49.23%, Dole 40.72%, Perot 8.40% (+8.49% Clinton) Clinton won 31 states.
2000: Bush 47.87%, Gore 48.38% (Gore +0.49%) Bush won 30 states.
2004: Bush 50.73%, Kerry 48.27% (Bush +2.46%) Bush won 31 states.
NO WAY is Obama up 14 points!
2) Hillary and Bill are not acting like they want Obama to win, since she wants to run again in 2012, despite what she alludes to.
3) “Hussein” being Obama’s middle name is still news to most people.
4) A picture of Obama dressed as a Muslim (there are at least three) is still worth 1000 words (3000 in this case). Man your email station! Post bills!
5) The PUMAs who know the hows and whys of Hillary getting cheated, will vote Palin, and will pull others. Check out http://www.hillaryclintonforum.net/discussion/showthread.php?t=33711&page=3 and http://democrats-against-obama.org
6) “Bitter ... [Gun Clingers]”, will vote McCain
7) The Palins ARE America and the conservative base. America and the conservative base will vote accordingly. According to http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2106836/posts parts of the country that were not fired up about the election, are working for Palin. She draws THOUSANDS at every campaign stop.
8) The NRA has “8 figures” of ads to unload in “swing” states
9) At one point, Obama was only 5 points up in New York! New York!
10) The Democrats were talking about Democratic consultants freaking out over Obama mis-managing his campaign before they settled into poll alteration.
11) The Enemedia is already spreading the meme that if Obama loses, it “is racism”. They see the tea leaves ...
12) The Media was calling the election for Kerry ELECTION MORNING in 2004, and Carter and Reagan polled evenly on election day! SOMEONE is trying to buffalo us with these polls! For more on the history of polls leaning Democrat, please see http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2106669/posts Both Zogby and Mike McCurry predicted a Kerry win.
13) McCain has only started to play the Ayers card. McCain has not yet played the Tony Rezko, Odinga, ... more at http://www.barackbook.com
14) Plenty of long-time Democratic voters are unimpressed with Obama, and will not vote for him. Two midwestern transplants have volunteered to me that they know lifelong Democrats who WILL NOT vote for Obama. The 1st hand accounts here on Free Republic about lack of enthusiasm for Obama relative to Kerry similarly bodes poorly for Obama.
15) Obama has only 60% of the Jewish vote last I checked, compared to the 75% Kerry got. Please see http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/05/obama_and_the_jewish_vote.php and http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/08293/921167-470.stm
16) The Christian base that re-elected Bush in 2004, knows Sarah is more than a Sunday Christian, and is praying for her.
17) McCain opened 50 offices in California. It’s in play! It should be the bluest of the blue, and it is not.
18) Google “Bradley Effect”. Obama is getting poll votes he’ll never get on election day. PUMAs have also agreed to lie to pollsters about supporting Obama, and are encouraging others to do so.
19) Operation Chaos resulted in an overlarge quantity of Democrat registrations that will never ever vote Democratic.
20) Obama’s “spread the wealth” line to Joe the Plumber will cost him undecideds not ready to etch the current class structure in stone.
21) The Enemedia overstating Obama’s popularity will cut two ways. The lazy, and the youth, (core Democrat constituencies) will not brave traffic and lines to vote on election day, since they were lied to by the KGBMedia to believe that Obama has a gigantic lead.
22) There is a group playing Jeremiah Wrights ads. Read more about it http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2108462/posts, and to donate visit https://www.completecampaigns.com/FR/contribute.asp?campaignid=OCDBPac.
23) Polls are meant by the Enemedia, to SHAPE public opinion, not to accurately report it.
Fellow Freepers, please feel free to post this list every time you see a Freeper or anyone feeling down, anywhere. No need to credit me or ping or write me.
If you do start spreading this list, it might not be bad for you to check back for updates since Freepers are always kindly giving feedback to this list.
Let me know if you have any other under-reported reasons for the coming McCain/Palin win.
Mantra: Taxes kill businesses kill jobs kill people
Please tell me if you think there are mistakes.
I wonder what percentage of people polled are unemployed, sitting at home, always answering the phone every time it rings?
All of this is academic if Obama wins Virginia. Ras has O up 10 pts.
NO OBAMA. NO NEO-MARXISM. NO FURTHER.
NO OBAMA - NO NEO-MARXISM - NO FURTHER
Wow...good news....hope it stays!
They want Obama to win, but need to start releasing real numbers in order to retain credibility.
Understood. Oh, to have an honest press though.
When was that? He's currently up by 20% much to my embarrassment.
Nutmeg, another bit of good news.
They are trying to count in what ACORN has registered supposedly 1,200,000 new voters but 1,000,000 were double voter registrations and Mickey Mouse who registered 439,000 times in Florida and California!
9) At one point, Obama was only 5 points up in New York! New York!
When was that? He’s currently up by 20% much to my embarrassment.
Nutmeg, another bit of good news.
***********************************
1) the 5 points was before the heavy poll cooking started
2) the black lady PUMA who had her blogs deleted, and castigated Obama for lack of character, and ended her video saying “no deal”, said New York was in play also
3) If Obama has less than 61% of the Jewish Vote, compared to the 90% Gore got (closest election ever), and the 75% Kerry got (clear win), what makes you think despite these observations that Obama with his 60% is doing that well in New York?
Have a great day.
You bet!
it’s no coincidence that the nationals tighten as do the alleged battleground states
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