Battleground Poll has a 4 point lead for Obama

RCP ^ | 10/20/2008 | PaRep

[PaRep]

Battlegrond poll still has a 4 point lead

[CatOwner]

Obama+4 with highly optimistic DEM-to-GOP party affiliations.

[moose2004]

Already posted, please delete.

[AxelPaulsenJr]

I missed it the first time, please don’t delete.

[moose2004]

No problem.

[avacado]

What is the Dem/Rep ratio? I couldn’t find it on that link.

[CatOwner]

I don’t see it for this poll, but they have numbers from 3-4 days ago: 42.6% DEM, 38.9% GOP, 18.5% INP. They are under-reporting INPs by 8-9%. Also, they have as many 18-34 voters in the poll as 65+, and they state that 96% of these 18-34 voters are very likely or extremely likely to vote. Sounds fishy to me.

[CatOwner]

Here's the link to the older data:

http://www.tarrance.com/files/GWU-BG-Public-tables-10.16.pdf

[avacado]

Thanks! That makes sense. I look at like this, if we get Republican voter turnout similar to 2004, we win in a landslide. We'll have more Dems on our side — even if the MSM won't admit it — and the Conservative base is super fired up over Palin.