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GALLUP POLL LIKELY VOTERS STAY 49 OBAMA, 47 MCCAIN FOR SECOND DAY...
Gallup via Drudge ^

Posted on 10/17/2008 11:19:16 AM PDT by Chet 99

GALLUP POLL LIKELY VOTERS STAY 49 OBAMA, 47 MCCAIN FOR SECOND DAY...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; electionpresident; gallup; mccain; obama
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To: Mr. Binnacle
Joe the Plumber Saves the Republic!

If McCain pulls this off, I wonder if Joe will get any credit and/or go into the history books...

21 posted on 10/17/2008 11:29:35 AM PDT by America_Right (Palin 2012!)
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To: Tenacious 1

You have to read the polls closely. Usually they take a pool of about 3000 voters and poll them. But, they don’t take into account that Obama will not have about 20% of dem votes (Hillary votes and people that won’t vote for a black person no matter if he is a republican or a democrat). That will be a reduction of about 4-6% points in the final tally. Even the most scientifically accurate pollster can not capture this anomaly. Best poll is on the election day Nov,4.


22 posted on 10/17/2008 11:30:57 AM PDT by MooseChic
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To: Chet 99

National Polls Mean NOTHING. McCain is behind in VA, OH, FL and NH.


23 posted on 10/17/2008 11:31:09 AM PDT by montag813
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To: 1curiousmind

Yeah. I’m listening to KFYI out of Phoenix. It’s an hour behind on the Limbaugh show. Rush is talking about this right now. After McCain introduced Obama, I turned the channel.


24 posted on 10/17/2008 11:32:02 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (I'm just going to spread YOUR wealth around - Barack HUSSEIN Obama.)
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To: kesg; Norman Bates; Perdogg

the interesting thing is that even under the “traditional likely voter” model, Gallup has goosed the projected turnout to 60% - 5% higher than 2004, which was a huge turnout year.

I’d be curious to see the numbers if they lowered the projection to 55%


25 posted on 10/17/2008 11:32:59 AM PDT by Chet 99 (Vote McCain/Palin, or this will be our future: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QTb5EFZmgbs)
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To: montag813
National Polls Mean NOTHING. McCain is behind in VA, OH, FL and NH.

You are correct, of course. Still, thanks for pissing in our Wheaties.

26 posted on 10/17/2008 11:33:46 AM PDT by Tenacious 1 (Democrats are for Change - Let's run through a mine field at night wearing clown shoes!)
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To: Chet 99

Re: The events in Ohio...

My atty husband says that we all need to contact the Attorney General’s office and demand a lawsuit to stop this fraud. Here is the link for the contact info:

http://www.ag.state.oh.us/contact/index.asp


27 posted on 10/17/2008 11:34:17 AM PDT by diamond6 (Is SIDS preventable? www.Stopsidsnow.com)
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To: Chet 99
This is what Team Obama thinks of the small businessman

Youtube - Obama Attacks Joe the Plumber

Youtube - Joe Biden Insults Joe the Plumber and All Small Business Owners




Youtube - Joe the Plumber - McCain/Palin Ad

Joe the Plumber Interviewed in His Front Yard

LEAVE JOE THE PLUMBER ALONE!
28 posted on 10/17/2008 11:35:34 AM PDT by Fred (The Democrat Party is the Nadir of Nihilism)
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To: Tenacious 1

The MSM is in overdrive trying to hype up the god Obama. This sick MSM animals are going after Joe the Plumber. How pathetic.

I have never seen propaganda like this. It is only going to get rockier and the polls may be all over the place so be prepared.

Donate & volunteer to McCain-Palin 2008.


29 posted on 10/17/2008 11:38:20 AM PDT by Frantzie
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To: Chet 99

For the last 2 weeks I have been convinced McCain lost the election, but now, because of several factors that have nothing 2 do with the current tightening of the polls, I am convinced McCain is very close putting this thing away.
If you don’t believe me, watch the hysteria that is starting to take place among Hussein’s comrades in the media and the Democrat party-they see a sure victory slipping out of their grasp.


30 posted on 10/17/2008 11:39:38 AM PDT by Larry381 (A community in Chicago is missing an organizer and the housing he built)
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To: Chet 99

The problem is the EVs. Obama is ahead by 130 electoral votes.


31 posted on 10/17/2008 11:44:36 AM PDT by pabianice (Inexplicable and infuriating.)
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To: MittFan08

McCain is seriously courting Pennsylvania (21 evs), which changes the electoral calculus in the west (CO, NM). I think we’re going to be okay in NV. MN and WI still in play. FL, NC, MO coming back.

Here is the dirty little secret that the MSM won’t report and that the BO people won’t admit: BO is hemorraging votes.

Joe the Plumber may have saved us.


32 posted on 10/17/2008 11:46:34 AM PDT by mwl8787
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To: montag813

National and state polls trend together. National polls generally are followed by movement in state polls, which generally aren’t taken as often as the nationals. This is a good sign. In fact, I suspect the reason he’s doing better in national polls is precisely because he is doing better in these states. It ain’t like he’s picking up a ton of votes in Pennsylvania or Michigan.


33 posted on 10/17/2008 11:47:56 AM PDT by Opinionated Blowhard
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To: pabianice

State polls are a lagging indicator.


34 posted on 10/17/2008 11:54:35 AM PDT by Chet 99 (Vote McCain/Palin, or this will be our future: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QTb5EFZmgbs)
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To: wordsofearnest
How much is the “Bradley Effect”?

If it's any number greater than zero, with a Dow at 9054 (just now), and outspending McCain 8:1, stick a fork in BMO.

49-1=48; 47+1=48.

35 posted on 10/17/2008 12:01:11 PM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: montag813; Chet 99
National Polls Mean NOTHING. McCain is behind in VA, OH, FL and NH.

Wrong, bud. National polls are leading indicators, state polls are lagging. I can explain if you'd like.

36 posted on 10/17/2008 12:09:12 PM PDT by NYC Republican
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To: America_Right

Joe should get the Lincoln Bedroom for the duration...also, the White House’s MAIN PLUMBER!


37 posted on 10/17/2008 12:10:06 PM PDT by Blue Turtle (I)
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To: Chet 99

49 OBAMA, 47 MCCAIN. Great news. We all know this means McCain is actually leading!


38 posted on 10/17/2008 12:12:42 PM PDT by Unkosified (Sarah has always been proud to be an American. Michelle wasn't proud of America until 2008.)
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To: NYC Republican

Humbly asking here ... could you please explain how state polls lag national ones? Thanks!


39 posted on 10/17/2008 12:13:32 PM PDT by Hetty_Fauxvert (Marxist Obama will trash the USA for the next 30 years. Vote McCain-Palin!)
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To: pabianice
The problem is the EVs. Obama is ahead by 130 electoral votes.

Not if he's only up 2-3% nationally. That EV lead corresponds to about a 7-8% Obama lead in the popular vote. Most state polls are lagging McCain's recent surge.

40 posted on 10/17/2008 12:15:00 PM PDT by Interesting Times (For the truth about "swiftboating" see ToSetTheRecordStraight.com)
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