Obama will win. He has 187 pre pledged electrals from my count.
My state pre pledged our electorals, did yours?
http://www.nationalpopularvote.com/
187 is far from the 270 that he needs.
To get those, first he has to win the national popular vote. And to my understanding that law does not kick in in those states until and unless the number of states that pass it have 270 EVs.