Posted on 10/14/2008 10:29:54 PM PDT by bootless
An American Cyber-Column
Keep the Faith
Rich Galen
Wednesday October 15, 2008
* It is that time in the election cycle when the faithful can become confused, the confused can become disenchanted, and the disenchanted can tune out.
SIDEBAR
Here are the polls through Oct 13 (as listed on RealClearPolitics.com last night):
CBS News/NY Times Obama +14
IBD Obama +3
LA Times/Bloomberg Obama +9
Rasmussen Tracking Obama +5
Zogby Tracking Obama +6
Hotline/FD Tracking Obama +6
Gallup Tracking Obama +6
Battleground Track Obama +13
END SIDEBAR
* Using the Galen Theory of Poll Interpretation - throw out the high (CBS/NY Times) and the low (Investors Business Daily) and whatever is left is probably right - Obama is now leading McCain by about seven percentage points.
* That is not the end of the world as we know it. That isn't even CLOSE to the end of the world as we know it.
* With the global financial system teetering on the brink of going back to trading in wampum and the War on Terror no closer to being won than it was in January 2002 and housing prices continuing to drop and unemployment continuing to rise and who-knows-what-else is going wrong … Obama shouldn't be ahead by 6.5 percentage points; he should be ahead by SIXTEEN percentage points.
* Ok, so why isn't Obama ahead by double digits?
* I think it's because the world is as dangerous as it is.
* Think about Barack Obama not as a candidate for President, but as a race car driver. Which NASCAR team would give the keys to the car to a guy who has just learned to drive?
* It is much more likely that they would send him back to the minor leagues for a few years of seasoning.
* And it is very likely that American voters, before they pull the lever, fill in the circle, press the button or punch out the chad; will decide that Barack Obama needs some more seasoning before they allow him to take the tiller of the Ship of State and vote for John McCain.
* So, a six-to-seven percentage point lead with three weeks to go is not enough for Obama to start looking at paint sample for the First Family Residence.
* The big problem for the GOP isn't that Obama has a mid-single-digit lead in the national polls. The big problem for the GOP is that rank-and-file voters will decide that this race is over and not bother to go to the polls.
* The Obama campaign is depending upon the jillions of young people - mostly college students - voting for the first time and voting for Obama.
* If Republican voters fall into the trap being laid by the media that the Presidential race is over then Obama will win by default.
* Not only that, but if Republicans give up on this election then down-ballot candidates will lose as well. Republican candidates for United States Senate, Members of Congress, State House and Senate, County Commission and City Council across the nation will be swept aside - not because they were not good candidates and not because they didn't perform well as incumbents; but because Republicans stayed home.
* Didn't vote.
* Left it to the Democrats.
* Is that what you want? Me neither.
* It is not a surprise to me that the CBS News/NY Times poll has Obama leading by the largest margin. I'm not suggesting they are lying, but it is not unknown in survey research to apply weighting to the results to affect the results.
* If we allow the Coastal Elites to decide for the rest of us who will hold the reins of political power then we deserve what we get:
- Obama as President - A 60-vote Democrat Senate Majority - A huge Democrat majority in the House - Two new Liberal members of the US Supreme Court.
* Don't like that? Then don't buy the Liberal hype. This race has three weeks to go and this is how it can be won:
- Win your precinct - Win enough precincts and we win the county - Win enough counties and we win the state - Win enough states and we win the White House.
* It's just that easy.
* For the next three weeks, work hard and keep the faith.
Copyright ©2008 Barrington Worldwide, LLC
Amen!! And given the sampling and weights, I doubt 0bama is even up by 5. It’s probably within the margin of error. There is a concerted effort by the MSM to paint the election as over. This suggest that the rats are getting desperate and need to psyche us out. This great nation can’t fall into the darkness of socialism and liberalism. We have to win the White House and Congress. May God bless McCain tomorrow and may he get the fire lit under him.
I don’t know what will happen, but beyond the margin of error I mentally throw 5% McCain’s way when I see this poll crap.
Geez, keep hyping it, MSM, and maybe the Dems will be so complacent THEY stay home.
Thank you!
And as Steven Warshawsky (The American Thinker) wrote on 10/9, the fraudulent, inflated Acorn registration numbers have led to the inflated Dem weightings as well.
Never give up. VOTE. And work as a precinct inspector, if you can!
Take the train, take the bus, drive your car, walk, whatever, just GET OUT AND VOTE and encourage others to vote, also. Or, like me, fill out that mail-in ballot, or that absentee ballot and send it in!
Rich is right ... Obama should be up by a LOT.
Now, who do you want in the left seat of an airliner in turbulence? The neophyte who was in the bottom third of his class, or the captain with some gray at the temples, and the confidence and assuredness to keep the plane straight and level?
Yeah, you betcha! :-)
I’m voting in person, and taking my 16 y/o conservative Freeper son with me, as I always do. It’s tradition.
Bradley effect (fear of being accused racist, not racism)
PUMAs lying to pollsters
Operation chaos
Phony ACORN dem registrants
Angry republicans hanging up on pollsters (we do!)
All these things mean the pollsters are over sampling dems. and struggling to quantify the unquantifiable right now.
They are guessing, comparing to each other, and some are smoking the Obama crack pipe no question.
Do NOT kneel before the polling gods and whimper.
Piss off a liberal. FIGHT!
Yes.
And we have to all vote to overcome the sheer numbers of Acorn’s fraudulent votes.
Hopefully a lot of ACORNs fraud is getting stopped.
More attention is on it then I ever expected.
I agree! It’s amazing. I see that the Ohio SOS has been ordered to do something, which she seems to have been reluctant to do.
Of course, the KGO talkers are piling up excuse after excuse, justifications on top of those: associations aren’t affiliations, Acorn isn’t running Obama’s campaign, and so on. And this from hosts like Gene Burns, supposed libertarian, who really should know better. It’s embarrassing.
BTTT
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