Posted on 10/14/2008 6:40:28 PM PDT by xlib
With all these bogus registrations being submitted by ACORN, it's possible that the pollsters are oversampling democrats without realizing that significant numbers of those "newly registered" dems are Mickey Mouse and the Dallas Cowboys. They try to predict what percentage of each party will show up based on registrations, don't they? Just askin', (or maybe deramin')
Oversampling the oversample even - most have admitted +10% overdemification (under pressure to admit, that is...)
last word s/b dreamin’ (sorry)
Even the pollsters’ “normal” sample — mostly people home in the daytime on landline phones — is ridiculous.
Jose Guervo changes his mind every morning.
Do you know what the ACORN people do with all those extra ballots that aren’t supposed to be counted? They put them in a warehouse somewhere, and pull them out at the votes are being counted, just in time to sway the election in favor of the radical Democrat that they are trying to elect. Once those ballots are separated from the envelope, there is no way to identify where it came from.
It happened in Seattle, when they put Christine Gregoire over the top by 122 votes in the 2004 Governor’s race, on the third recount. Those ballots just miraculously appeared in a warehouse, where the voting equipment had been taking. Isn’t that amazing?
The federal prosecutor was fired for refusing to investigate. Five low level ACORN workers were found guilty, but the people running the show got off completely.
We need President Bush to call for an independent council to look into ACORN and ties to Obama, the sub prime mess, and Fannie and Freddie, too.
How long will this go on before the election is delayed until there can be a re-registration with UN observers? Or maybe Carter. Seriously, this thing should be called off and a completely new registration done. Neither president will be legitimate, no matter who wins. For sure if 0bamma wins he won’t be legitimate.
What the pollsters do has been developed over many elections and it has worked in the past.
what they do is ask a series of questions to see how enthusiastic a voters is about his candidate. If the voter is luke warm about his candidate then they put that voter down as a non voter.
The second thing the pollsters believe is that every voter votes for his candidate. No one votes for candidate A because he can’t stand candidate B. That has proved to be true in election after election.
But this year is whole new ball game. Obama scares Republicans like no other candidate in the last 150 years. And so for the first time I believe that many voters who are at best luke warm for McCain will come out to vote for him because it is the only way to prevent Obama from being our next president.
So the pollsters are figuring that 41 to 43 percent of voters will be Democrats while Republicans will be 27 to 29 percent of votes and independents will be about 30 percent of voters.
But I would bet that come election day about 35 percent of voters will be Republicans while 35 percent are democrats and 30 percent are independents. if that is the case then McCain wins. The raw numbers say McCain is wining independent voters and if a quarter of the Republican base does not stay home and sit on their hands, then McCain wins.
McCain’s internal polls take this factor into account. I think Obama’s polls do to. That is why Obama is all over PA ... it is not the state where Obama leads by 11 points it is a dead heat. And Ohio is not Obama by 2 it is for McCain by 7 or 8.
I think the pollsters are in for a big surprise. What is interesting is pollsters always correct their polling based on the results of the last election. To correct for mistakes the polls have to first be wrong.
They will in my estimation be very wrong in 2008. The reason is for the first time in our history, Republicans voters will come out to vote against Obama. And to do that they have to vote for McCain. The polls are not picking this up.. so they think only about 27 to 29 percent of voters will be Republicans.
They have gotten away with it for years..Must be a huge surprise that anyone even lifts an eye brow.
No accident, I think.
Very interesting point.
Acorn is stuffing registration rolls so someone can later stuff the ballot boxes. “Oh look we found a few extra boxes of ballots”! Or they then simply report fraudulent vote totals up to the new bogus registration figures!
The vault door is left open so
the theft can be made later.
Why does the Chicago Crime Puppet get away with saying, he “doesn’t think “Tony Ramos will Vote in Ohio”?
Are we all supposed to be that dumb? He is making a diversion
right before our eyes, I guess he is “The Magic Chicago Crime Puppet”.
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