The only thing that bugs me about the poll suppression theory is that McCain’s campaign acknowledges he’s down 6 nationwide (as of yesterday). I think it’s all about the Dem weightings based on bogus ACORN registrations. Just wonder if McCain camp uses same weightings as other polling outlets?
Having been both a successful candidate and a campaign manager of a few local & regional races here in Minnesota, I can attest to the fact that you never telegraph negative internal polling numbers to the press. I seriously doubt McCain’s people would be so free with discussing being down 6 points if this was actually the case. So either McCain’s folks have indeed thrown in the towel or else this is something else. I believe this is about whose base is fired up more. Beyond the group of Obambi cult worshipers, there are a lot of Dem-leaning folks who are ambivalent about the election but will vote if it seems like their vote will swing things. If those people believe their guy is going to win by such huge numbers it doesn’t matter - there’s a chance they don’t show up to vote at all. Looking at the numbers Palin is pulling in alone, I’m inclined to think those on the Right (and those who aren’t keen on USA going socialist) are far more scared, mad and motivated than their counterparts.
“The only thing that bugs me about the poll suppression theory is that McCain’s campaign acknowledges he’s down 6 nationwide (as of yesterday).”
McCain is playing possum. He’s even nationally (or even slightly ahead) and he knows it. The six points is the RCP average, which is simply an average of a bunch of polls that assume that Democrats are going to have a turnout advantage of 6-12 points over Republicans over election day. But if you believe that, here is a reality check:
McCain is only screaming , we are down by 6 to help the
get out the vote effort. Voters stay home if they think their canidate is safe. They get out if they think their canidate can be helped.
“The only thing that bugs me about the poll suppression theory is that McCain’s campaign acknowledges he’s down 6 nationwide (as of yesterday). “
I would say it does several things for him. One is that is may give the illusive youth vote for 0bama no reason to get out of bed on Nov 4th, or even pay attention anymore for that matter. Secondly, it gives him underdog status, which he likes. Third, if polls tighten (as they probably will), he gets to claim “momentum”. Hopefully the GOP turnout is extra heavy no matter what the polls say.