Posted on 10/13/2008 6:01:00 PM PDT by BCrago66
In contrast to other polls, which show Obama leading McCain by 4 points (Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby) to 11 (Newsweek), the IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll debuts today with Obama up just 2 points with 13% (including 25% of independents) undecided. The poll was conducted Oct. 6-12 among 825 likely voters.
Q: If the 2008 election for U.S. president were held today and the following were candidates, for whom would you vote? Would you say Democrat Barack Obama or Republican John McCain?
(Excerpt) Read more at ibdeditorials.com ...
Going to be interesting. The market recovered a bit today. If it continues I’d be interested to see if McCain’s number recover with it. If they do, great. The risk there is that all it will take is Soros to kick off a run on Nov 3rd.
Florida Democrat Primary 2008 (the votes the DNC did not want to count). The last column is delegates.
2008 FL Primary
Hillary Rodham Clinton 870,986 49.8% 52.5
Barack Obama 576,214 32.9% 33.5
John Edwards 251,562 14.4% 6.5
Joseph R. Biden Jr. 15,704 0.9% 0
Bill Richardson 14,999 0.9% 0
Hillary whipped Obama’s arse in FL. A lot fo those Hillary voters are either staying home or voting McCain.
Obama will lose a lot of votes to Blue Dog white Dems in North and Central Florida who are probably also NRA members. Obama will get fewer Jewish voters than Kerry too. Possibly a lot fewer.
This is another reason why I trust IBD a lot more is they still have the undecideds. The other polls having Obama anywhere near 50% are a joke.
I also know IBD’s paper and their investment analysis and data and they are good. IBD also cannot not be bought.
Your concerns about the length of each polling period are valid...however it has advantages in evening out the differences pollsters get when they poll weekends as opposed to early weekdays, etc. I think it provides a more valid sample on which to assess that particular period. But you are right it’s quickly dated.
This sounds like the most accurate poll that I have seen.
Yep
I clicked on the link- it’s all there
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